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Conference League
Referee: António Nobre
Puskas Academy
S S S U U
1–1
Full-time
Fiorentina
T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Puskas Academy Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/1 matches
Win Ø 30%
60%
0%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
80%
100%
Both score Ø 70%
40%
100%
Average goals
3,8
6,0
Scored
2,6
3,0
Conceded
1,2
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
25 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
9 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 2

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Aug -24 Fiorentina – Puskas Academy 3–3

Match report

Puskas Academy Fiorentina
8′
🟨 Marin Pongračić
44′
🟨 Moise Kean
Half-time 0–0
Jakub Plšek 🟨
52′
53′
🔁 P. Comuzzo
↦ M. Pongračić
54′
🔁 A. Colpani
↦ J. Ikoné
54′
🔁 C. Kouamé
↦ R. Sottil
59′
⚽ M. Kean 0–1
L. Colley 🔁
↦ J. Puljić
67′
G. Komáromi 🔁
↦ J. Levi
67′
71′
🔁 F. Parisi
↦ L. Martínez Quarta
75′
🟨 Pietro Comuzzo
78′
🟨 Luca Ranieri
Lamin Colley 🟨
79′
R. Szolnoki 🔁
↦ J. Plšek
79′
György Komáromi 🟨
81′
83′
🔁 M. Kayode
↦ Dodô
B. Vékony 🔁
↦ M. Soisalo
88′
90′
🔁 R. Mandragora
↦ M. Kean
Artem Favorov 🟨
92′
Quentin Maceiras 🟨
93′
94′
🟥 Luca Ranieri
94′
🟨 Luca Ranieri
1–1 Z. Nagy ⚽
97′
97′
🟥 Pietro Comuzzo
97′
🟨 Pietro Comuzzo
2–1 G. Komáromi ⚽
121′
122′
⚽ R. Mandragora 2–2
3–2 A. Favorov ⚽
123′
124′
⚽ C. Kouamé 3–3
125′
⚽ A. Colpani 3–4
4–4 W. Golla ⚽
126′
R. Szolnoki ❌
penalty missed
127′
128′
⚽ A. Richardson 4–5
5–5 Z. Nagy ⚽
129′
130′
⚽ C. Biraghi 5–6
Full-time 5–6

Line-ups

Puskas Academy

4-3-3
91 Á. Pécsi G
23 Q. Maceiras D
14 W. Golla D
17 P. Stronati D
25 Z. Nagy D
16 U. Nissilä M
19 A. Favorov M
15 J. Plšek M
20 M. Soisalo F
21 J. Puljić F
10 J. Levi F
Bench (12)
9 L. Colley
7 G. Komáromi
22 R. Szolnoki
88 B. Vékony
11 A. Tyshchuk
77 K. Mondovics
24 T. Markek
55 V. Vitályos
8 D. Kocsis
76 B. Pál
66 A. Markgráf
72 B. Lehoczki

Coach: Z. Hornyák

Fiorentina

3-4-3
43 David de Gea G
28 L. Martínez Quarta D
5 M. Pongračić D
6 L. Ranieri D
2 Dodô M
4 S. Amrabat M
24 A. Richardson M
3 C. Biraghi M
11 J. Ikoné F
20 M. Kean F
7 R. Sottil F
Bench (10)
15 P. Comuzzo
99 C. Kouamé
23 A. Colpani
65 F. Parisi
33 M. Kayode
8 R. Mandragora
1 P. Terracciano
30 T. Martinelli
9 L. Beltrán
42 A. Bianco

Coach: R. Palladino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

António Nobre · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.