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Europa League
Referee: H Osmers
Elfsborg
S S U S S
0–1
Full-time
Molde
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/5 matches
Win Ø 63%
86%
40%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
29%
60%
Both score Ø 35%
29%
40%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
2,1
1,6
Conceded
0,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
11 Corners 6
5 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Aug -24 Molde – Elfsborg 0–1 28. Jul -22 Elfsborg – Molde 1–2 21. Jul -22 Molde – Elfsborg 4–1

Match report

Elfsborg Molde
Timothy Ouma 🟨
14′
Besfort Zeneli 🟨
27′
Jalal Abdullai 🟨
27′
39′
🟨 Halldor Stenevik
Half-time 0–0
62′
🔁 F. Ihler
↦ M. Enggård
62′
🔁 V. Berisha
↦ E. Breivik
62′
⚽ V. Berisha 0–1
M. Eikrem
84′
🔁 M. Kaasa
↦ V. Berisha
90′
🟨 Mats Møller Dæhli
E. Holten 🔁
↦ J. Abdullai
90′
A. Zeneli 🔁
↦ A. Qasem
90′
99′
🟨 Anders Hagelskjær
100′
🟨 Kristian Eriksen
100′
🔁 M. Linnes
↦ H. Stenevik
105′
🔁 V. Lund
↦ A. Hagelskjær
105′
🔁 E. Hestad
↦ M. Eikrem
G. Henriksson 🔁
↦ S. Holmén
115′
J. Thomasen 🔁
↦ I. Buhari
121′
121′
❌ M. Kaasa
penalty missed
1–1 M. Baidoo ⚽
122′
123′
⚽ F. Ihler 1–2
2–2 S. Hedlund ⚽
124′
125′
❌ E. Hestad
penalty missed
3–2 B. Zeneli ⚽
126′
127′
⚽ M. Løvik 3–3
4–3 N. Hult ⚽
128′
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Elfsborg

3-4-3
31 I. Pettersson G
8 S. Holmén D
29 I. Buhari D
2 T. Yegbe D
15 S. Hedlund M
16 T. Ouma M
27 B. Zeneli M
23 N. Hult D
18 A. Qasem M
10 M. Baidoo M
14 J. Abdullai F
Bench (12)
12 E. Holten
9 A. Zeneli
4 G. Henriksson
7 J. Thomasen
1 M. Uppenberg
13 J. Larsson
30 M. Bundgaard
19 R. Kaib
6 A. Baldursson
26 L. Richtnér
11 E. Guðmundsson
28 L. Östman

Coach: O. Hiljemark

Molde

3-5-2
22 A. Posiadała G
19 E. Haugan D
25 A. Hagelskjær D
3 C. Øyvann D
18 H. Stenevik M
10 M. Enggård M
17 M. Møller Dæhli M
16 E. Breivik M
31 M. Løvik M
7 M. Eikrem F
20 K. Eriksen M
Bench (11)
9 F. Ihler
14 V. Berisha
15 M. Kaasa
21 M. Linnes
4 V. Lund
5 E. Hestad
29 G. Nyheim
32 P. Lervik
34 S. McDermott
23 S. Granaas
33 N. Ødegård

Coach: E. Moe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Osmers · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.