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Europa League
Referee: A Papapetrou
Qarabag
T S T T T
1–2
Full-time
Malmo FF
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag Malmo FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
4,2
2,0
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
3,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,94 xG 0,81
55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Qarabag Malmo FF
1–0 Juninho ⚽
A. Zoubir
15′
19′
⚽ E. Botheim 1–1
Gabriel Busanello
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Ricardo Friedrich
↦ J. Dahlin
47′
⚽ E. Botheim 1–2
L. Berg Johnsen
Juninho Vieira ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
61′
62′
🔁 H. Bolin
↦ A. Christiansen
B. Hüseynov 🔁
↦ B. Mustafazadə
68′
T. Bayramov 🔁
↦ Leandro Andrade
68′
M. Janković 🔁
↦ Júlio Romão
69′
71′
🟨 Hugo Bolin
E. Addai 🔁
↦ A. Hüseynov
77′
79′
🔁 O. Rosengren
↦ S. Peña
90′
🟨 Ricardo Friedrich
90′
🔁 T. Ali
↦ E. Botheim
90′
🔁 S. Rieks
↦ I. Kiese Thelin
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
97 F. Buntić G
30 A. Hüseynov D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev D
6 Júlio Romão M
66 Patrick Andrade M
15 Leandro Andrade M
7 Y. Benzia M
10 A. Zoubir M
18 Juninho F
Bench (11)
55 B. Hüseynov
27 T. Bayramov
8 M. Janković
11 E. Addai
99 M. Kochalski
21 O. Kashchuk
20 R. Almeyda
24 A. Isaev
90 N. Axundzadə
12 S. Məmmədzadə
22 M. Qurbanlı

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Malmo FF

4-4-2
27 J. Dahlin G
17 J. Stryger Larsen D
18 P. Jansson D
19 C. Rösler D
25 Gabriel Busanello D
10 A. Christiansen M
8 S. Peña M
23 L. Berg Johnsen M
16 O. Berg M
9 I. Kiese Thelin F
20 E. Botheim F
Bench (12)
1 Ricardo Friedrich
38 H. Bolin
7 O. Rosengren
22 T. Ali
5 S. Rieks
37 A. Skogmar
14 S. Jørgensen
34 Z. Loukili
35 N. Zätterström
30 J. Persson
32 D. Guðjohnsen
13 M. Olsson

Coach: H. Rydström

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Papapetrou · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.