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Europa League
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez
Nice
T S T S T
1–2
Full-time
Roma
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,96 xG 0,80
43% Possession 57%
7 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Nice Roma
27′
🟨 Manu Koné
41′
🟨 Evan Ndicka
41′
🟨 Neil El Aynaoui
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 L. Pellegrini
↦ S. El Shaarawy
52′
⚽ E. Ndicka 0–1
L. Pellegrini
55′
⚽ G. Mancini 0–2
K. Tsimikas
T. Moffi 🔁
↦ Kevin
62′
S. Diop 🔁
↦ M. Sanson
62′
J. Clauss 🔁
↦ H. Boudaoui
62′
69′
🔁 B. Cristante
↦ M. Kone
69′
🔁 E. Ferguson
↦ A. Dovbyk
69′
🔁 N. Pisilli
↦ M. Soule
1–2 T. Moffi ⚽
77′
79′
🟨 Konstantinos Tsimikas
A. Abdi 🔁
↦ M. Bard
80′
M. Cho 🔁
↦ J. Boga
80′
83′
🔁 M. Hermoso
↦ D. Rensch
88′
🟨 Mario Hermoso
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Nice

3-5-2
80 Y. Diouf G
33 A. Mendy D
28 J. Bah D
4 Dante D
20 T. Louchet M
6 H. Boudaoui M
24 C. Vanhoutte M
8 M. Sanson M
26 M. Bard M
90 Kevin F
7 J. Boga F
Bench (12)
31 M. Dupe
30 B. Zelazowski
2 A. Abdi
9 T. Moffi
10 S. Diop
21 I. Jansson
25 M. Cho
37 K. Peprah
47 T. Gouveia
64 M. Bombito
92 J. Clauss
99 S. Abdul Samed

Coach: Franck Armel Gérard Haise

Roma

3-4-2-1
99 M. Svilar G
19 Z. Celik D
23 G. Mancini D
5 E. Ndicka D
2 D. Rensch M
8 N. El Aynaoui M
17 M. Kone M
12 K. Tsimikas M
18 M. Soule F
92 S. El Shaarawy F
9 A. Dovbyk F
Bench (10)
70 G. De Marzi
95 P. Gollini
3 Angelino
4 B. Cristante
7 L. Pellegrini
11 E. Ferguson
22 M. Hermoso
43 Wesley Franca
61 N. Pisilli
87 D. Ghilardi

Coach: Gian Piero Gasperini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.