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Ligue 1

Referee: J Stinat

Nice

T S T T T

3–1

Full-time

Auxerre

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Auxerre

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,94 xG 1,51

55% Possession 45%

16 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 2

7 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Nice 12. · Auxerre 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.9	6
2	Marseille	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.0	3
3	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
4	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
5	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
6	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
7	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
8	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
9	Angers	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.6	3
10	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
11	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
12	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
13	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
14	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
15	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
16	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
17	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
18	Paris FC	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
2	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
3	Angers	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
4	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
5	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
6	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
7	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
8	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
9	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
10	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
11	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
3	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
4	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
5	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
6	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
7	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
8	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
9	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
10	Paris FC	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.