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NM-cupen
Referee: O Nilsen
Haugesund
S T U T T
1–4
Full-time
Rosenborg
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Haugesund Rosenborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tromsdalen Uil 3 3 0 0 +16 9
2 Stabaek 2 2 0 0 +8 6
3 Levanger 2 2 0 0 +8 6
4 Kongsvinger 3 2 0 1 +6 6
5 Lysekloster 2 2 0 0 +6 6
6 Sandnes ULF 2 2 0 0 +5 6
7 Lillestrom 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Aalesund 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 Lyn 2 2 0 0 +4 6
10 Eik-Tønsberg 2 2 0 0 +4 6
11 Mjondalen 3 2 0 1 +3 6
12 Bjarg 2 2 0 0 +3 6
13 Egersund 2 2 0 0 +2 6
14 Kjelsås 2 2 0 0 +2 6
15 Brattvåg 2 1 1 0 +2 4
16 hodd 2 1 1 0 +2 4
17 Odd 2 1 1 0 +2 4
18 Strommen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
19 Brann 1 1 0 0 +4 3
20 Follo 2 1 0 1 +2 3
21 Hønefoss 2 1 0 1 +2 3
22 Vard 2 1 0 1 +2 3
23 KFUM Oslo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Fredrikstad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Arendal 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Stjørdals-Blink 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Asker 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Start 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Moss 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Trygg/Lade 2 1 0 1 -1 3
31 Ulfstind 2 1 0 1 -2 3
32 Junkeren 2 1 0 1 -2 3
33 Gamle Oslo 2 1 0 1 -2 3
34 Asane 2 1 0 1 -2 3
35 Sotra 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Djerv 2 0 1 1 -4 1
37 Alta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Jerv 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Strindheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Gneist 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Valerenga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Ranheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Flekkerøy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Eidsvold 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Madla 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Råde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Flint 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Grorud 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Spjelkavik 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 Rana 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Pors Grenland 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Nordstrand 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Ull/Kisa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Sogndal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Førde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Træff 1 0 0 1 -3 0
57 Lørenskog 1 0 0 1 -3 0
58 Vidar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
59 Skeid 1 0 0 1 -3 0
60 Raufoss 1 0 0 1 -3 0
61 Sandviken 1 0 0 1 -3 0
62 Vigør 1 0 0 1 -3 0
63 Notodden 1 0 0 1 -4 0
64 Brumunddal 1 0 0 1 -4 0
65 Vestfossen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
66 Sandefjord 1 0 0 1 -5 0
67 Bærum 1 0 0 1 -5 0
68 Nardo 1 0 0 1 -6 0
69 Finnsnes 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Haugesund Rosenborg
M. Dia 🟨
29′
H. V. Karlsen 🔁
↦ S. Diarra
38′
Half-time 0–0
M. Koskela 🔁
↦ M. Bjornbak
46′
46′
🔁 E. K. Ceide
↦ J. Reitan-Sunde
1–0 A. Grindhaug
M. Hope
57′
P. Hannola 🟨
62′
62′
🔁 O. Selnaes
↦ M. Zeidan
P. Bizoza 🔁
↦ B. Leite
69′
71′
🔁 O. Saeter
↦ D. Duris
71′
🔁 A. F. Witry
↦ A. Pereira
74′
🔁 M. K. Ceide
↦ H. Volden
90′
D. Islamovic 1–1
E. K. Ceide
I. Camara 🔁
↦ T. Nyhammer
91′
L. Eide 🔁
92′
94′
🟨 O. Selnaes
94′
E. Reitan 1–2
E. K. Ceide
T. Nyhammer 🟨
96′
98′
E. Reitan 1–3
99′
🔁 S. Vaananen
↦ E. Reitan
F. A. Jakobsen 🔁
↦ C. Niyukuri
106′
107′
D. Islamovic 1–4
E. K. Ceide
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Haugesund

1 A. Wichne
2 C. Niyukuri
15 M. Bjornbak
55 M. Dia
3 N. Hamalainen
40 A. Grindhaug
8 P. Hannola
10 T. Nyhammer
16 B. Leite
25 M. Hope
29 S. Diarra
Bench (7)
32 F. Stople
6 P. Bizoza
17 H. V. Karlsen
30 I. Camara
33 M. Koskela
43 L. Eide
46 F. A. Jakobsen

Coach: Toni Korkeakunnas

Rosenborg

1 S. Tangvik
2 E. Reitan
50 H. Volden
21 T. Nemcik
19 A. Pereira
5 M. Zeidan
8 I. Fossum
7 S. Nordli
29 D. Duris
39 D. Islamovic
45 J. Reitan-Sunde
Bench (9)
12 R. Sandberg
6 S. Vaananen
9 O. Saeter
10 O. Selnaes
15 J. Mortensen
16 A. F. Witry
35 E. K. Ceide
38 M. K. Ceide
43 A. Borgersen

Coach: Alfred Johansson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Nilsen · 75 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.