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Europa League
Referee: Radu Marian Petrescu
FK Crvena Zvezda
S S U T U
1–1
Full-time
Celtic
U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Crvena Zvezda Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,0
1,3
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
0,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,61 xG 1,68
47% Possession 53%
16 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FK Crvena Zvezda Celtic
Half-time 0–0
Milson 🔁
↦ N. Radonjic
46′
46′
🔁 K. Iheanacho
↦ D. Maeda
55′
⚽ K. Iheanacho 0–1
B. Nygren
1–1 M. Arnautovic ⚽
F. Tebo Uchenna
65′
68′
🔁 A. Engels
↦ R. Hatate
68′
🔁 J. Forrest
↦ Yang Hyun-Jun
A. Katai 🔁
↦ M. Arnautovic
75′
77′
🔁 M. Balikwisha
↦ S. Tounekti
Nair Tiknizyan 🟨
80′
82′
🔁 M. Saracchi
↦ K. Tierney
Aleksandar Katai 🟨
83′
85′
🟨 Marcelo Saracchi
P. Olayinka 🔁
↦ M. Ivanic
91′
93′
🟨 Kelechi Iheanacho
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda

4-2-3-1
1 Matheus G
66 Seol Young-Woo D
30 F. Tebo Uchenna D
13 M. Veljkovic D
23 N. Tiknizyan D
21 T. Elsnik M
20 T. Handel M
49 N. Radonjic M
17 Bruno Duarte M
4 M. Ivanic M
89 M. Arnautovic F
Bench (12)
18 O. Glazer
77 I. Gutesa
6 M. Bajo
7 Milson
10 A. Katai
14 P. Olayinka
22 V. Kostov
24 N. Stankovic
25 S. Lekovic
37 V. Lucic
40 L. Zaric
71 A. Avdic

Coach: Vladan Milojević

Celtic

4-3-3
1 K. Schmeichel G
51 C. Donovan D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
5 L. Scales D
63 K. Tierney D
8 B. Nygren M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
13 Yang Hyun-Jun F
38 D. Maeda F
23 S. Tounekti F
Bench (12)
12 V. Sinisalo
31 R. Doohan
10 M. Balikwisha
14 L. McCowan
17 K. Iheanacho
24 J. Kenny
27 A. Engels
28 P. Bernardo
36 M. Saracchi
47 D. Murray
49 J. Forrest
56 A. Ralston

Coach: Brendan Rodgers

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.