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Europa League
Referee: Damian Sylwestrzak
Lille
T T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Freiburg
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 57%
43%
71%
Points per game
1,3
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
57%
29%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
2,9
1,9
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,3
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,61 xG 0,41
65% Possession 35%
10 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Lille Freiburg
Half-time 0–0
60′
🔁 D. Scherhant
↦ V. Grifo
60′
🔁 I. Matanovic
↦ J. Adamu
Benjamin André 🟨
72′
72′
🔁 C. Irie
↦ J. Beste
74′
🟥 Maximilian Eggestein
O. Giroud 🔁
↦ F. Correia
82′
R. Perraud 🔁
↦ C. Verdonk
82′
83′
🔁 A. Jung
↦ Y. Suzuki
83′
🔁 P. Osterhage
↦ J. Manzambi
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 🟨
86′
1–0 O. Giroud ⚽
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Lille

4-4-2
1 B. Ozer G
22 T. Santos D
3 N. Ngoy D
23 A. Mandi D
24 C. Verdonk D
17 N. Mukau M
21 B. Andre M
32 A. Bouaddi M
27 F. Correia M
7 M. Fernandez-Pardo F
10 H. Haraldsson F
Bench (11)
16 A. Bodart
60 Z. Lanssade
4 Alexsandro
9 O. Giroud
14 M. Broholm
15 R. Perraud
18 C. Mbemba
35 S. Diaoune
39 L. Baret
42 S. Boussadia
43 Y. Lachaab

Coach: Bruno Genesio

Freiburg

4-2-3-1
1 N. Atubolu G
29 P. Treu D
28 M. Ginter D
43 B. Ogbus D
30 C. Gunter D
8 M. Eggestein M
44 J. Manzambi M
19 J. Beste M
14 Y. Suzuki M
32 V. Grifo M
20 J. Adamu F
Bench (10)
21 F. Muller
24 J. Huth
5 A. Jung
6 P. Osterhage
7 D. Scherhant
22 C. Irie
27 N. Hofler
31 I. Matanovic
33 J. Makengo
65 K. Steinmann

Coach: Julian Schuster

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Damian Sylwestrzak · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.