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Europa League
Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera
Panathinaikos
T S T U U
1–1
Full-time
Roma
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 11/7 matches
Win Ø 54%
36%
71%
Points per game
1,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
45%
57%
Both score Ø 49%
55%
43%
Average goals
1,9
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,80 xG 1,38
65% Possession 35%
11 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Panathinaikos Roma
Manolis Siopis 🟨
10′
14′
ℹ️ Gianluca Mancini
VAR: Card upgrade
15′
🟥 Gianluca Mancini
41′
🟨 Daniele Ghilardi
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Ndicka
↦ M. Soule
1–0 V. Taborda
58′
R. Sanches 🔁
↦ M. Siopis
59′
64′
🔁 D. Rensch
↦ Z. Celik
64′
🔁 Wesley Franca
↦ B. Cristante
67′
🔁 M. Della Rocca
↦ L. Pellegrini
70′
🟨 Niccolò Pisilli
I. N. Skarlatidis 🔁
↦ A. Touba
72′
80′
J. Ziolkowski 1–1
87′
🔁 Angelino
↦ K. Tsimikas
S. Terzis 🔁
↦ V. Taborda
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

3-4-2-1
40 A. Lafont G
15 S. I. Ingason D
14 E. Palmer-Brown D
5 A. Touba D
3 G. Katris
6 M. Siopis M
11 A. Bakasetas M
77 G. Kyriakopoulos M
20 V. Taborda F
9 A. Zaroury F
72 M. Pantovic F
Bench (7)
70 K. Kotsaris
71 C. Geitonas
8 R. Sanches
34 A. Vyntra
37 N. Kaloskamis
47 S. Terzis
62 I. N. Skarlatidis

Coach: Rafael Benitez

Roma

3-5-2
95 P. Gollini G
87 D. Ghilardi D
23 G. Mancini D
24 J. Ziolkowski D
19 Z. Celik M
61 N. Pisilli M
4 B. Cristante M
8 N. El Aynaoui M
12 K. Tsimikas M
18 M. Soule F
7 L. Pellegrini F
Bench (8)
70 G. De Marzi
99 M. Svilar
2 D. Rensch
3 Angelino
5 E. Ndicka
21 P. Dybala
43 Wesley Franca
75 M. Della Rocca

Coach: Piero Gasperini Gian

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Juan Martinez Munuera · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.