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Europa League
Referee: Rohit Saggi
Aston Villa
U S T S S
3–2
Full-time
Salzburg
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aston Villa Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 58%
86%
29%
Points per game
2,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
2,1
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
0,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,57 xG 2,38
65% Possession 35%
14 Shots 14
9 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 6
8 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Aston Villa Salzburg
33′
⚽ K. Konate 0–1
E. Baidoo
35′
🟨 Tim Trummer
M. Rogers 🔁
↦ O. Watkins
35′
Half-time 0–1
M. Cash 🔁
↦ G. Hemmings
46′
46′
🔁 M. K. Yeo
↦ K. Konate
49′
⚽ M. K. Yeo 0–2
K. Alajbegovic
1–2 M. Rogers ⚽
E. Buendia
64′
J. Jimoh-Aloba 🔁
↦ E. Buendia
66′
73′
🔁 C. Bischoff
↦ K. Alajbegovic
73′
🔁 K. Onisiwo
↦ E. Baidoo
2–2 T. Mings ⚽
M. Cash
76′
E. Konsa 🔁
↦ A. Onana
78′
K. Young 🔁
↦ J. Sancho
79′
3–2 J. Jimoh-Aloba ⚽
K. Young
87′
89′
🔁 M. Kjaergaard
↦ S. Kitano
89′
🔁 O. Lukic
↦ S. Diabate
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1
23 E. Martinez G
26 L. Bogarde D
3 V. Lindelof D
5 T. Mings D
12 L. Digne D
24 A. Onana M
53 G. Hemmings M
19 J. Sancho M
9 H. Elliott M
10 E. Buendia M
11 O. Watkins F
Bench (9)
40 M. Bizot
64 J. Wright
2 M. Cash
4 E. Konsa
14 P. Torres
20 J. Jimoh-Aloba
22 I. Maatsen
27 M. Rogers
51 K. Young

Coach: Unai Emery

Salzburg

4-2-3-1
1 A. Schlager G
37 T. Trummer D
23 J. Gadou D
44 J. Schuster D
13 F. Kratzig D
18 M. Bidstrup M
5 S. Diabate M
20 E. Baidoo M
8 S. Kitano M
27 K. Alajbegovic M
19 K. Konate F
Bench (12)
52 C. Zawieschitzky
92 S. Hamzic
2 J. Rasmussen
3 A. Terzic
7 C. Bischoff
9 K. Onisiwo
14 M. Kjaergaard
15 M. Diambou
22 S. Lainer
25 O. Lukic
43 E. Aguilar
49 M. K. Yeo

Coach: Daniel Beichler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Rohit Saggi · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.