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Europa League
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Lyon
S S S S S
4–2
Full-time
PAOK
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,7
2,2
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/11 matches
Win Ø 66%
86%
45%
Points per game
2,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
29%
45%
Both score Ø 25%
14%
36%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
2,0
1,9
Conceded
0,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,52 xG 0,65
62% Possession 38%
19 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Lyon PAOK
20′
⚽ G. Giakoumakis 0–1
A. Zivkovic
1–1 R. Himbert ⚽
A. Moreira
34′
35′
🟨 Giannis Konstantelias
40′
🟨 Giannis Konstantelias
40′
🟥 Giannis Konstantelias
Tyler Morton 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
T. Tessmann 🔁
↦ T. Morton
46′
2–1 K. Merah ⚽
A. Moreira
55′
66′
⚽ S. Meite 2–2
A. Zivkovic
Abner Vinicius 🔁
↦ R. Kluivert
69′
T. Goncalves 🔁
↦ K. Merah
69′
77′
🟨 Giorgos Giakoumakis
Remi Himbert ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
80′
84′
🔁 K. Despodov
↦ Taison
A. Gomes 🔁
↦ A. Moreira
87′
A. Hamdani 🔁
↦ M. de Carvalho
87′
87′
🔁 A. Mythou
↦ G. Giakoumakis
3–2 A. Karabec ⚽
A. Hamdani
88′
4–2 A. Gomes ⚽
A. Karabec
90′
91′
🔁 M. Camara
↦ M. Ozdoev
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Lyon

4-2-3-1
40 R. Descamps G
98 A. Maitland-Niles D
22 C. Mata D
19 M. Niakhate D
21 R. Kluivert D
39 M. de Carvalho M
23 T. Morton M
7 A. Karabec M
44 K. Merah M
17 A. Moreira M
45 R. Himbert F
Bench (9)
1 D. Greif
50 L. Diarra
6 T. Tessmann
16 Abner Vinicius
29 E. Molebe
32 A. Gomes
46 T. Goncalves
67 P. Mbatshi Mukuba
84 A. Hamdani

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

PAOK

4-2-3-1
99 A. Tsiftsis G
3 J. Kenny D
16 T. Kedziora D
5 G. Michailidis D
21 A. R. Baba D
27 M. Ozdoev M
8 S. Meite M
14 A. Zivkovic M
65 G. Konstantelias M
11 Taison M
7 G. Giakoumakis F
Bench (12)
1 J. Pavlenka
2 M. Camara
4 A. Vogliacco
6 D. Lovren
9 F. Chalov
10 D. Pelkas
22 A. Bianco
23 J. Sastre
32 G. Taylor
52 D. Chatsidis
56 A. Mythou
77 K. Despodov

Coach: Razvan Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.