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Europa League
Referee: Elcin Masiyev
Midtjylland
S U S T U
2–0
Full-time
Dinamo Zagreb
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Dinamo Zagreb
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,7
3,7
Scored
3,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 13/7 matches
Win Ø 60%
77%
43%
Points per game
2,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
62%
86%
Both score Ø 63%
54%
71%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,21 xG 0,80
60% Possession 40%
10 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Midtjylland Dinamo Zagreb
5′
🟨 Cardoso Varela
Martin Erlić 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Bakrar
↦ C. Varela
46′
🔁 A. Hoxha
↦ G. Vidovic
1–0 A. Simsir ⚽
D. Osorio
49′
Darío Osorio 🟨
59′
60′
🔁 M. Zajc
↦ M. Soldo
60′
🔁 D. Beljo
↦ S. Kulenovic
E. Chilufya 🔁
↦ D. Osorio
62′
69′
🔁 M. Perez Vinlof
↦ S. McKenna
2–0 V. Bak ⚽
V. Byskov
74′
Lee Han-Beom 🔁
↦ M. Erlic
79′
P. Bravo 🔁
↦ Junior Brumado
79′
K. Mbabu 🔁
↦ A. Simsir
91′
Dani Silva 🔁
↦ V. Byskov
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Midtjylland

3-4-2-1
16 E. Olafsson G
4 O. Diao D
6 M. Erlic D
22 M. Bech Sorensen D
11 D. Osorio M
21 D. Castillo M
20 V. Byskov M
55 V. Bak M
10 Cho Gue-Sung F
58 A. Simsir F
74 Junior Brumado F
Bench (9)
1 J. Lossl
60 M. Ugboh
3 Lee Han-Beom
14 E. Chilufya
19 P. Bravo
33 A. Djabi
43 K. Mbabu
48 M. Pimpong
80 Dani Silva

Coach: Mike Tullberg

Dinamo Zagreb

4-1-4-1
33 I. Nevistic G
15 N. Galesic D
36 S. Dominguez D
26 S. McKenna D
3 B. Goda D
27 J. Misic M
23 C. Varela M
14 M. Soldo M
7 L. Stojkovic M
10 G. Vidovic M
17 S. Kulenovic F
Bench (12)
35 N. Mikic
28 K. Theophile-Catherine
20 R. Mudrazija
22 M. Perez Vinlof
8 M. Zajc
30 F. Topic
6 G. Villar
71 M. Bakrar
11 A. Hoxha
88 A. Rajic
9 D. Beljo
25 M. Valincic

Coach: Mario Kovacevic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.