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Europa League
Referee: Felix Zwayer
Midtjylland
S U U S T
1–2
Full-time
Nott'm Forest
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Nott'm Forest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 15/11 matches
Win Ø 63%
80%
45%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
53%
64%
Both score Ø 42%
47%
36%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
0,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,70 xG 2,07
52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 11
1 Offside 5
22 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Mar -26 Nott'm Forest – Midtjylland 0–1 2. Oct -25 Nott'm Forest – Midtjylland 2–3

Match report

Midtjylland Nott'm Forest
40′
⚽ N. Dominguez 0–1
N. Milenkovic
Half-time 0–1
Lee Han-Beom 🔁
↦ V. Byskov
46′
A. Simsir 🔁
↦ P. Billing
46′
Júnior Brumado 🟨
51′
52′
⚽ R. Yates 0–2
J. McAtee
Cho Gue-Sung 🔁
↦ Junior Brumado
56′
61′
🔁 M. Gibbs-White
↦ O. Hutchinson
61′
🔁 N. Williams
↦ D. Ndoye
61′
🔁 Murillo
↦ N. Milenkovic
1–2 M. Erlic ⚽
69′
Darío Osorio 🟨
71′
75′
🔁 O. Aina
↦ D. Bakwa
75′
🔁 E. Anderson
↦ J. McAtee
Pedro Bravo 🟨
88′
A. Gabriel 🔁
↦ O. Diao
91′
91′
🔁 I. Sangare
↦ N. Dominguez
94′
🟨 Murillo
Martin Erlić 🟨
102′
E. Chilufya 🔁
↦ D. Osorio
103′
114′
🟨 Elliot Anderson
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Midtjylland

4-2-3-1
16 E. Olafsson G
4 O. Diao D
6 M. Erlic D
22 M. Bech Sorensen D
55 V. Bak D
8 P. Billing M
19 P. Bravo M
21 D. Castillo M
20 V. Byskov M
11 D. Osorio M
74 Junior Brumado F
Bench (11)
1 J. Lossl
60 M. Ugboh
14 E. Chilufya
10 Cho Gue-Sung
3 Lee Han-Beom
17 M. Uhre
13 A. Gabriel
58 A. Simsir
39 Junior Ze
41 M. Gogorza
38 J. Emefile

Coach: Mike Tullberg

Nott'm Forest

3-4-2-1
27 S. Ortega G
44 Z. Abbott D
31 N. Milenkovic D
4 Morato D
14 D. Ndoye M
22 R. Yates M
16 N. Dominguez M
29 D. Bakwa M
21 O. Hutchinson F
24 J. McAtee F
20 L. Lucca F
Bench (12)
26 M. Sels
67 K. Willows
6 I. Sangare
10 M. Gibbs-White
3 N. Williams
19 Igor Jesus
5 Murillo
34 O. Aina
8 E. Anderson
65 J. Hanks
51 A. Whitehall
61 J. Sinclair

Coach: Vitor Pereira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Felix Zwayer · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.