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Conference League
Referee: J Martinez
Rakow
T S S T T
1–2
Full-time
Fiorentina
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 13/11 matches
Win Ø 67%
69%
64%
Points per game
2,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
38%
73%
Both score Ø 42%
38%
45%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,9
Conceded
0,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,79 xG 2,17
50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 21
1 Shots on target 7
8 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Mar -26 Fiorentina – Rakow 2–1

Match report

Rakow Fiorentina
A. Mosor 🔁
↦ F. Tudor
19′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 K. Struski ⚽
I. Lopez
46′
61′
🔁 R. Gosens
↦ J. Fazzini
61′
🔁 R. Piccoli
↦ M. Kean
68′
⚽ R. Piccoli 1–1
C. Ndour
L. Diaby-Fadiga 🔁
↦ I. Lopez
69′
71′
🟨 Dodô
L. Rocha 🔁
↦ P. Makuch
79′
M. Bulat 🔁
↦ K. Struski
80′
Adriano 🔁
↦ J. C. Silva
80′
Leonardo Rocha 🟨
85′
85′
🟨 Cher Ndour
Jonatan Braut Brunes 🟨
86′
Jonatan Braut Brunes ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
86′
88′
🔁 M. Pongracic
↦ Dodo
90′
⚽ M. Pongracic 1–2
A. Gudmundsson
91′
🔁 A. Gudmundsson
↦ J. Harrison
91′
🔁 R. Mandragora
↦ N. Fagioli
95′
🟨 Marin Pongračić
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Rakow

3-4-2-1
48 O. Zych G
7 F. Tudor D
25 B. Racovitan D
4 S. Svarnas D
19 M. Ameyaw M
23 K. Struski M
6 O. Repka M
20 J. C. Silva M
9 P. Makuch F
10 I. Lopez F
18 J. Brunes F
Bench (11)
1 K. Trelowski
5 M. Bulat
17 L. Rocha
80 L. Diaby-Fadiga
11 Adriano
44 B. Mircetic
21 J. Napieraj
24 Z. Arsenic
2 A. Mosor
35 M. Ilenic
31 D. Czeremski

Coach: Lukasz Tomczyk

Fiorentina

4-2-3-1
53 O. Christensen G
2 Dodo D
15 P. Comuzzo D
6 L. Ranieri D
65 F. Parisi D
44 N. Fagioli M
27 C. Ndour M
17 J. Harrison M
80 G. Fabbian M
22 J. Fazzini M
20 M. Kean F
Bench (12)
43 D. de Gea
50 P. Leonardelli
10 A. Gudmundsson
21 R. Gosens
8 R. Mandragora
5 M. Pongracic
91 R. Piccoli
61 R. Braschi
23 E. Kospo
60 E. Kouadio
63 P. Bonanno
62 L. Balbo

Coach: Paolo Vanoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Martinez · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.