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Europa League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
Porto
S T U S S
2–0
Full-time
Stuttgart
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/11 matches
Win Ø 61%
67%
55%
Points per game
2,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
55%
Both score Ø 56%
67%
45%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,50 xG 1,71
36% Possession 64%
10 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 11
1 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Mar -26 Stuttgart – Porto 1–2

Match report

Porto Stuttgart
Pablo Rosario 🟨
7′
1–0 William Gomes ⚽
B. Sainz
21′
Zaidu Sanusi 🟨
23′
Rodrigo Mora 🟨
25′
35′
🟨 Ermedin Demirović
Half-time 1–0
V. Froholdt 🔁
↦ R. Mora
46′
J. Kiwior 🔁
↦ Zaidu
58′
Pepê 🔁
↦ William Gomes
58′
61′
🔁 T. Tomas
↦ M. Mittelstadt
62′
🔁 N. Nartey
↦ A. Karazor
63′
🟨 Luca Jaquez
M. Fernandes 🔁
↦ B. Sainz
66′
2–0 V. Froholdt ⚽
72′
A. Varela 🔁
↦ S. Fofana
73′
76′
🟨 Nikolas Nartey
77′
🟨 Nikolas Nartey
77′
🟥 Nikolas Nartey
78′
🔁 B. Bouanani
↦ D. Undav
78′
🔁 L. Assignon
↦ C. Fuhrich
79′
🔁 C. Andres
↦ A. Stiller
89′
🟨 Lorenz Assignon
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Porto

4-3-3
99 D. Costa G
20 A. Costa D
3 Thiago Silva D
5 J. Bednarek D
12 Zaidu D
42 S. Fofana M
13 P. Rosario M
86 R. Mora M
7 William Gomes F
29 T. Moffi F
17 B. Sainz F
Bench (12)
14 Claudio Ramos
24 J. Costa
4 J. Kiwior
52 M. Fernandes
21 D. Prpic
49 G. Sousa
27 D. Gul
11 Pepê
74 F. Moura
10 G. Veiga
22 A. Varela
8 V. Froholdt

Coach: Francesco Farioli

Stuttgart

3-4-1-2
33 A. Nubel G
14 L. Jaquez D
24 J. Chabot D
3 R. Hendriks D
7 M. Mittelstadt M
16 A. Karazor M
6 A. Stiller M
10 C. Fuhrich M
11 B. El Khannouss F
9 E. Demirovic F
26 D. Undav F
Bench (11)
1 F. Bredlow
44 F. Hellstern
28 N. Nartey
2 A. Al Dakhil
27 B. Bouanani
30 C. Andres
4 J. Vagnoman
8 T. Tomas
22 L. Assignon
29 F. Jeltsch
35 M. Catovic

Coach: Sebastian Hoeness

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Anthony Taylor · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.