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NM-cupen
Referee: U Aslam
KFUM Oslo
U T T S S
3–2
Full-time
Fredrikstad
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

KFUM Oslo Fredrikstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — NM-cupen · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match KFUM Oslo 18. · Fredrikstad 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 5 5 0 0 +8 15
2 Lillestrom 4 4 0 0 +7 12
3 Tromsdalen Uil 4 3 0 1 +15 9
4 Bjarg 4 3 0 1 +5 9
5 Egersund 4 3 0 1 +2 9
6 Kjelsås 3 2 1 0 +2 7
7 Kongsvinger 3 2 0 1 +6 6
8 Brann 2 2 0 0 +5 6
9 Levanger 3 2 0 1 +4 6
10 Sandnes ULF 3 2 0 1 +4 6
11 Lysekloster 3 2 0 1 +4 6
12 Viking 3 2 0 1 +4 6
13 Mjondalen 3 2 0 1 +3 6
14 Stabaek 3 2 0 1 +3 6
15 Lyn 3 2 0 1 +3 6
16 Bryne 2 2 0 0 +3 6
17 Bodo/Glimt 2 2 0 0 +3 6
18 KFUM Oslo 2 2 0 0 +3 6
19 Fredrikstad 2 2 0 0 +2 6
20 Eik-Tønsberg 3 2 0 1 +2 6
21 hodd 2 1 1 0 +2 4
22 Strommen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
23 Brattvåg 3 1 1 1 +1 4
24 Odd 3 1 1 1 +0 4
25 Follo 2 1 0 1 +2 3
26 Ham-Kam 2 1 0 1 +2 3
27 Hønefoss 2 1 0 1 +2 3
28 Vard 2 1 0 1 +2 3
29 Rosenborg 2 1 0 1 +1 3
30 Arendal 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Stjørdals-Blink 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 Asker 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Tromso 2 1 0 1 +0 3
34 Start 2 1 0 1 +0 3
35 Moss 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 Trygg/Lade 2 1 0 1 -1 3
37 Ulfstind 2 1 0 1 -2 3
38 Junkeren 2 1 0 1 -2 3
39 Gamle Oslo 2 1 0 1 -2 3
40 Asane 2 1 0 1 -2 3
41 Stromsgodset 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Sotra 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Sarpsborg 08 2 0 1 1 -1 1
44 Molde 2 0 1 1 -1 1
45 Djerv 2 0 1 1 -4 1
46 Alta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Jerv 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Strindheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Gneist 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Kristiansund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Valerenga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Ranheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Flekkerøy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Eidsvold 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Madla 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Råde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Flint 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Grorud 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Spjelkavik 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Rana 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Pors Grenland 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Nordstrand 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Ull/Kisa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Sogndal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Førde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Haugesund 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Træff 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 Lørenskog 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 Vidar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 Skeid 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 Raufoss 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 Sandviken 1 0 0 1 -3 0
73 Vigør 1 0 0 1 -3 0
74 Notodden 1 0 0 1 -4 0
75 Brumunddal 1 0 0 1 -4 0
76 Vestfossen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
77 Sandefjord 1 0 0 1 -5 0
78 Bærum 1 0 0 1 -5 0
79 Nardo 1 0 0 1 -6 0
80 Finnsnes 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

KFUM Oslo Fredrikstad
1–0 J. Hjorth
S. Hestnes
1′
2–0 T. Soras
S. Sjokvist
3′
22′
S. Sorlokk 2–1
25′
🟨 F. Ghebreyohannes
31′
🟨 F. Holme
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 A. Andresen
↦ F. Ghebreyohannes
53′
S. Sorlokk 2–2
R. R. Shein
T. Soras 🟨
56′
H. Hoseth 🔁
↦ J. Hjorth
62′
B. Kristensen 🔁
↦ R. E. Vinge
62′
62′
🔁 S. Laghzaoui
↦ J. Nunez
3–2 B. Kristensen
D. Schneider
65′
R. Rasch 🔁
↦ T. Soras
73′
M. Grodem 🔁
↦ T. Haltvik
73′
D. Schneider 🟨
76′
78′
🔁 S. Rafn
↦ S. Owusu
78′
🔁 S. Leach
↦ R. R. Shein
B. Kristensen 🟨
86′
M. Njie 🔁
↦ M. Vinjor
90′
94′
🟨 O. Ohlenschlaeger
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

KFUM Oslo

25 H. Jenssen
2 D. Schneider
5 F. Berglie
19 E. Saunes
21 S. Sjokvist
27 T. Soras
8 S. Hestnes
16 J. Hjorth
9 M. Vinjor
18 R. E. Vinge
17 T. Haltvik
Bench (9)
12 K. Bakowski
4 M. Njie
7 R. Rasch
14 H. Hoseth
20 M. Najafzadeh
22 B. Kristensen
23 M. Eikrem
28 M. Grodem
33 A. Nouri

Coach: Johannes Moesgaard

Fredrikstad

77 M. Borsheim
4 F. Holme
12 U. Fredriksen
28 S. Owusu
19 F. Ghebreyohannes
24 L. Owusu
21 R. R. Shein
13 S. Sorlokk
20 O. Ohlenschlaeger
10 J. Nunez
23 H. Skogvold
Bench (9)
1 O. Ovretveit
2 K. Okpaleke
3 A. Andresen
5 S. Rafn
6 S. Leach
9 S. Laghzaoui
14 M. Nilsson
15 E. Granaas
27 C. Pondy

Coach: Andreas Hagen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.