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Europa League
Referee: Willy Delajod
Nott'm Forest
T T U U T
2–3
Full-time
Midtjylland
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
2,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
0%
86%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
100%
43%
Both score Ø 72%
100%
43%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
2,0
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,05 xG 2,10
61% Possession 39%
22 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
10 Corners 8
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Nott'm Forest Midtjylland
Morato 🟨
1′
18′
⚽ O. Diao 0–1
M. Bech Sorensen
1–1 D. Ndoye ⚽
M. Gibbs-White
22′
24′
⚽ M. Bech Sorensen 1–2
M. Erlic
N. Savona 🔁
↦ Murillo
28′
Half-time 1–2
55′
🟨 Kevin Mbabu
58′
🔁 D. Osorio
↦ A. Simsir
66′
🔁 Lee Han-Beom
↦ K. Mbabu
66′
🔁 P. Bravo
↦ D. Castillo
66′
🔁 V. Byskov
↦ Cho Gue-Sung
Igor Jesus 🟨
72′
C. Wood 🔁
↦ Igor Jesus
75′
Morgan Gibbs-White 🟨
76′
87′
🔁 Franculino
↦ Junior Brumado
88′
⚽ V. Byskov 1–3
D. Osorio
2–3 C. Wood ⚽
90′
Elliot Anderson ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
91′
94′
🟨 Ousmane Diao
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Nott'm Forest

3-4-3
26 M. Sels G
31 N. Milenkovic D
4 Morato D
5 Murillo D
14 D. Ndoye M
8 E. Anderson M
6 I. Sangare M
3 N. Williams M
10 M. Gibbs-White F
19 Igor Jesus F
7 C. Hudson-Odoi F
Bench (10)
13 John Victor
11 C. Wood
15 A. Kalimuendo
16 N. Dominguez
22 R. Yates
24 J. McAtee
29 D. Bakwa
30 W. Boly
37 N. Savona
44 Z. Abbott

Coach: Angelos Postecoglou

Midtjylland

3-4-3
16 E. Olafsson G
4 O. Diao D
6 M. Erlic D
22 M. Bech Sorensen D
43 K. Mbabu M
21 D. Castillo M
8 P. Billing M
55 V. Bak M
74 Junior Brumado F
10 Cho Gue-Sung F
58 A. Simsir F
Bench (12)
1 J. Lossl
3 Lee Han-Beom
7 Franculino
11 D. Osorio
13 A. Gabriel
14 E. Chilufya
19 P. Bravo
20 V. Byskov
29 Paulinho
41 M. Gogorza
80 Dani Silva
90 F. Etim

Coach: Mike Tullberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Willy Delajod · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.