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Champions League
Referee: T Stieler
Pafos
U S U T T
4–1
Full-time
Slavia Praha
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pafos Slavia Praha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,7
0,3
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 13/7 matches
Win Ø 19%
38%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
23%
71%
Both score Ø 34%
38%
29%
Average goals
1,9
2,7
Scored
0,9
0,6
Conceded
1,0
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,40 xG 1,73
45% Possession 55%
17 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Pafos Slavia Praha
1–0 V. Dragomir ⚽
17′
26′
🟨 David Zima
44′
⚽ S. Chaloupek 1–1
D. Doudera
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Y. Sanyang
↦ S. Chaloupek
2–1 Bruno ⚽
53′
55′
🔁 J. Boril
↦ Y. Mbodji
55′
🔁 T. Chory
↦ E. Prekop
59′
🟥 Jan Bořil
61′
🔁 D. Hashioka
↦ I. Ogbu
76′
🔁 V. Kusej
↦ M. Cham
M. Bassouamina 🔁
↦ Jaja
77′
3–1 Anderson Silva ⚽
M. Orsic
84′
K. Sema 🔁
↦ D. Quina
85′
4–1 M. Orsic ⚽
K. Pileas
87′
L. Dimata 🔁
↦ K. Pileas
90′
David Luiz 🟨
91′
Jay Gorter 🟨
96′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Pafos

4-2-3-1
1 J. Gorter G
7 Bruno D
23 D. Luckassen D
4 David Luiz D
2 K. Pileas D
88 Pepe M
30 V. Dragomir M
11 Jaja M
8 D. Quina M
17 M. Orsic M
33 Anderson Silva F
Bench (9)
82 P. Petrou
93 N. Michail
5 D. Goldar
9 M. Bassouamina
10 L. Dimata
12 K. Sema
25 B. Langa
42 G. Michael
87 P. Caldieraro

Coach: Albert Celades

Slavia Praha

3-4-2-1
36 J. Stanek G
4 D. Zima D
5 I. Ogbu D
2 S. Chaloupek D
21 D. Doudera M
19 O. Dorley M
23 M. Sadilek M
12 Y. Mbodji M
7 M. Cham F
17 L. Provod F
31 E. Prekop F
Bench (12)
35 J. Markovic
40 A. Rezek
8 D. Hashioka
9 V. Kusej
11 Y. Sanyang
13 M. Chytil
18 J. Boril
25 T. Chory
26 I. Schranz
46 M. Naskos
49 S. Pikolon
51 E. Pitak

Coach: Jindrich Trpisovsky

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.