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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Motherwell
T S S T U
0–3
Full-time
Hearts
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
25 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 6
8 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 2
4 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 8. · Hearts 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 7 6 0 1 +22 18
2 Rangers 7 5 1 1 +8 16
3 St Mirren 7 4 0 3 +0 12
4 Livingston 7 4 0 3 -3 12
5 Hibernian 7 3 2 2 +2 11
6 Aberdeen 7 3 1 3 +4 10
7 Hearts 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 Motherwell 6 3 1 2 +1 10
9 ST Johnstone 7 2 1 4 -3 7
10 Ross County 7 1 2 4 -7 5
11 Kilmarnock 7 1 1 5 -9 4
12 Dundee United 7 0 2 5 -17 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. May -22 Motherwell – Hearts 2–1 29. Jan -22 Hearts – Motherwell 2–0 20. Nov -21 Motherwell – Hearts 2–0 2. Oct -21 Hearts – Motherwell 2–0 7. Mar -20 Hearts – Motherwell 1–1

Match report

Motherwell Hearts
17′
⚽ L. Shankland 0–1
R. Aarons 🔁
↦ J. Efford
30′
Rolando Aarons 🟨
37′
39′
🔁 P. Haring
↦ A. Cochrane
Half-time 0–1
S. McKinstry 🔁
↦ R. Aarons
47′
50′
⚽ A. Forrest 0–2
L. Shankland
64′
🔁 R. Snodgrass
↦ C. Devlin
65′
🔁 S. Humphrys
↦ L. Shankland
D. Cornelius 🔁
↦ B. Maguire
67′
L. Moult 🔁
↦ R. Tierney
67′
B. Mugabi 🔁
↦ R. Lamie
67′
73′
🔁 T. Sibbick
↦ B. McKay
73′
🔁 N. Atkinson
↦ A. Halliday
Stuart McKinstry 🟨
75′
79′
🟨 Alan Forrest
90′
⚽ A. Forrest 0–3
N. Atkinson
93′
🟨 Michael Smith
Paul McGinn 🟨
94′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-2-3-1
1 L. Kelly G
16 P. McGinn D
15 S. Johansen D
4 R. Lamie D
24 M. Penney D
6 B. Maguire M
27 S. Goss M
11 J. Efford M
26 R. Tierney M
7 B. Spittal M
9 K. van Veen F
Bench (9)
20 R. Aarons
17 S. McKinstry
18 D. Cornelius
21 L. Moult
5 B. Mugabi
2 S. O'Donnell
13 A. Oxborough
28 R. Mahon
38 L. Miller

Coach: S. Hammell

Hearts

4-2-3-1
1 C. Gordon G
2 M. Smith D
20 L. Neilson D
3 S. Kingsley D
19 A. Cochrane D
16 A. Halliday M
14 C. Devlin M
17 A. Forrest M
8 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
18 B. McKay M
9 L. Shankland F
Bench (9)
5 P. Haring
77 R. Snodgrass
29 S. Humphrys
21 T. Sibbick
12 N. Atkinson
11 G. Mackay-Steven
30 J. Ginnelly
7 J. Grant
13 R. Stewart

Coach: R. Neilson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,75
🔒
U
3,34
🔒
B ✓
2,50
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,96
🔒
U2,5
1,82
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.