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Ekstraklasa
Referee: T Kwiatkowski
Cracovia
U S T U T
0–0
Full-time
Lech Poznan
U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Ekstraklasa · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 24%
15%
33%
Both score Ø 28%
23%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
18 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cracovia 9. · Lech Poznan 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 14 10 2 2 +15 32
2 Widzew Lodz 14 8 2 4 +9 26
3 Wisla Plock 14 7 4 3 +11 25
4 Legia 14 7 4 3 +1 25
5 Pogon Szczecin 14 6 5 3 +4 23
6 Stal Mielec 14 7 2 5 +1 23
7 Lech Poznan 12 6 3 3 +4 21
8 Jagiellonia 14 4 6 4 +4 18
9 Cracovia 13 5 3 5 +4 18
10 Warta Poznan 14 5 3 6 -1 18
11 Radomiak Radom 13 5 2 6 -3 17
12 Slask Wroclaw 14 4 5 5 -5 17
13 Zaglebie 13 4 5 4 -5 17
14 Gornik Zabrze 13 3 5 5 -4 14
15 Piast Gliwice 13 3 3 7 -3 12
16 Korona Kielce 14 3 3 8 -7 12
17 Lechia Gdansk 12 2 2 8 -14 8
18 Legnica 13 1 3 9 -11 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cracovia Lech Poznan
Karol Knap 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
F. Loshaj 🔁
↦ K. Knap
46′
51′
🟨 Joel Pereira
55′
🟨 Alan Czerwiński
61′
🔁 Afonso Sousa
↦ João Amaral
61′
🔁 A. Ba Loua
↦ K. Velde
David Jablonsky 🟨
71′
J. Myszor 🔁
↦ Y. Konoplyanka
72′
77′
🔁 F. Szymczak
↦ J. Karlström
81′
🔁 M. Żukowski
↦ M. Ishak
91′
🟨 Afonso Sousa
91′
🟨 Radosław Murawski
F. Balaj 🔁
↦ P. Makuch
92′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Cracovia

3-4-3
23 K. Niemczycki G
2 C. Râpă D
85 D. Jablonský D
5 V. Ghiță D
25 O. Kakabadze M
18 T. Oshima M
20 K. Knap M
4 P. Jaroszyński M
10 Y. Konoplyanka F
9 B. Källman F
71 P. Makuch F
Bench (7)
22 F. Loshaj
38 J. Myszor
45 F. Balaj
11 M. Rakoczy
27 M. Budziński
31 L. Hroššo
16 P. Kapek

Coach: J. Zieliński

Lech Poznan

4-4-1-1
35 F. Bednarek G
2 Joel Pereira D
44 A. Czerwiński D
16 A. Milić D
5 Pedro Rebocho D
23 K. Velde M
22 R. Murawski M
6 J. Karlström M
21 M. Skóraś M
24 João Amaral F
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (9)
7 Afonso Sousa
50 A. Ba Loua
17 F. Szymczak
27 M. Żukowski
14 G. Tsitaishvili
11 F. Marchwiński
1 A. Rudko
90 A. Sobiech
20 M. Pingot

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Kwiatkowski · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.