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Europa League
Referee: M Al Hakim
Rennes
S S S U S
1–1
Full-time
AEK Larnaca
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes AEK Larnaca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
This season — Europa League · 5/9 matches
Win Ø 52%
60%
44%
Points per game
2,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 79%
80%
78%
Both score Ø 74%
80%
67%
Average goals
3,4
3,1
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Sep -22 AEK Larnaca – Rennes 1–2

Match report

Rennes AEK Larnaca
1–0 M. Abline
B. Bourigeaud
17′
Flavien Tait 🟨
18′
28′
🟨 Hrvoje Miličević
Half-time 1–0
A. Gouiri 🔁
↦ M. Abline
56′
J. Doku 🔁
↦ M. Terrier
56′
D. Doué 🔁
↦ B. Bourigeaud
63′
L. Ugochukwu 🔁
↦ L. Majer
63′
A. Truffert 🔁
↦ A. Kalimuendo
71′
74′
🔁 Rafael Lopes
↦ R. Mamas
76′
Rafael Lopes 1–1
85′
🟨 Roberto Rosales
88′
🔁 Mikel González
↦ Gus Ledes
88′
🔁 N. Englezou
↦ Á. Gyurcsó
92′
🔁 H. Andreou
↦ V. Olatunji
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Rennes

4-4-2
1 D. Alemdar G
22 L. Assignon D
2 J. Rodon D
18 J. Belocian D
25 B. Meling D
14 B. Bourigeaud M
21 L. Majer M
20 F. Tait M
7 M. Terrier M
28 M. Abline F
9 A. Kalimuendo F
Bench (11)
19 A. Gouiri
11 J. Doku
33 D. Doué
6 L. Ugochukwu
3 A. Truffert
89 R. Salin
27 H. Traoré
15 C. Wooh
30 S. Mandanda
31 G. Doué
5 A. Theate

Coach: B. Génésio

AEK Larnaca

4-2-3-1
1 K. Pirić G
24 K. Christoforou D
15 H. Miličević D
4 N. Tomović D
14 Ángel García D
17 Pere Pons M
7 Gus Ledes M
16 R. Rosales M
66 R. Mamas M
45 Á. Gyurcsó M
19 V. Olatunji F
Bench (9)
12 Rafael Lopes
3 Mikel González
21 N. Englezou
30 H. Andreou
29 G. Naoum
38 I. Toumpas
41 M. Gonzalez
33 L. Constantine
25 M. Gordić

Coach: José Luis Oltra

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.