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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein-Erik Edvartsen
Sarpsborg 08
S S S T U
1–0
Full-time
Stromsgodset
S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 48%
45%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
40%
50%
Both score Ø 35%
20%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
16 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 6. · Stromsgodset 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 20 15 4 1 +32 49
2 Odd 20 11 5 4 +10 38
3 Brann 20 11 3 6 +11 36
4 Haugesund 21 10 5 6 +4 35
5 Stromsgodset 20 10 4 6 +8 34
6 Sarpsborg 08 20 9 5 6 +0 32
7 Molde 20 9 4 7 +2 31
8 Viking 20 9 4 7 -2 31
9 Sogndal 20 6 8 6 -1 26
10 Valerenga 21 7 4 10 -1 25
11 Lillestrom 21 5 7 9 -4 22
12 Bodo/Glimt 21 5 6 10 -6 21
13 Tromso 20 5 6 9 -7 21
14 Aalesund 20 5 4 11 -13 19
15 Stabaek 20 4 5 11 -8 17
16 Start 20 0 8 12 -25 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Stromsgodset
21′
🟨 Lars Christopher Vilsvik
22′
🟨 Francisco Junior
P. Kirkevold 🔁
↦ A. Trondsen
32′
Half-time 0–0
72′
🔁 T. Høiland
↦ Francisco Junior
T. Heintz 🔁
↦ J. Lindberg
76′
77′
🔁 M. Gjerstrøm
↦ Ø. Storflor
A. Mbedule 🔁
↦ P. Mortensen
85′
1–0 P. Kirkevold
S. Ernemann
87′
90′
🟥 Marcus Pedersen
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
1 A. Østbø G
19 K. Jónsson D
13 O. Hansen D
20 A. Østli D
15 S. Rosted D
5 M. Lund Nielsen M
10 J. Lindberg F
17 S. Ernemann M
22 J. Tveita D
6 A. Trondsen M
69 P. Mortensen F
Bench (7)
7 P. Kirkevold
14 T. Heintz
24 A. Mbedule
3 H. Toivomaki
18 T. Hovda
21 A. Kristiansen
4 M. Sundli

Coach: G. Bakke

Stromsgodset

4-3-3
1 E. Pettersen G
3 J. Parr D
2 M. Hamoud M
26 L. Vilsvik D
28 M. Høibråten D
5 J. Glesnes D
9 Ø. Storflor F
20 M. Abu M
19 Francisco Junior M
22 B. Adjei-Boateng M
10 Marcus Pedersen F
Bench (7)
7 T. Høiland
21 M. Gjerstrøm
11 M. Rønning
54 K. Ahlander
46 S. Johansen
34 A. Agouda
30 Ł. Jarosiński

Coach: B. Ingebretsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Svein-Erik Edvartsen · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.