Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Man City
Everton
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Man United
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 6 |
| 2 |
Huddersfield
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 3 |
West Brom
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 4 |
Watford
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 5 |
Liverpool
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 6 |
Southampton
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 |
Man City
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |
Leicester
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Tottenham
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Everton
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Chelsea
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 12 |
Arsenal
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 13 |
Burnley
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 14 |
Stoke
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 15 |
Swansea
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 |
Bournemouth
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 |
Newcastle
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 |
Crystal Palace
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 19 |
Brighton
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 20 |
West Ham
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Ederson Moraes
G
K. Walker
M
J. Stones
D
K. De Bruyne
M
L. Sané
M
Gabriel Jesus
F
Coach: Guardiola
J. Pickford
G
M. Keane
D
D. Calvert-Lewin
F
Coach: R. Koeman
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Brighton
Man City
Watford
Man City
Man City
West Brom
Man City
Leicester
Man City
Crystal Palace
Robert Madley · 95 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.