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Eliteserien

Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen

Sarpsborg 08

T U U U S

2–1

Full-time

Haugesund

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Haugesund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 9%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

1,8

1,3

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

0,8

0,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,0

This season — Eliteserien · 17/16 matches

Win Ø 46%

47%

44%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

47%

31%

Both score Ø 42%

53%

31%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

15 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

6 Offside 6

9 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 2. · Haugesund 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	18	11	5	2	+23	38
2	Sarpsborg 08	17	8	6	3	+11	30
3	Molde	17	8	4	5	+9	28
4	Brann	17	7	6	4	+16	27
5	Haugesund	16	7	4	5	+3	25
6	Stabaek	17	7	4	6	-4	25
7	Valerenga	16	6	5	5	+1	23
8	Aalesund	17	6	4	7	+0	22
9	Lillestrom	17	6	4	7	-1	22
10	Odd	16	6	4	6	-6	22
11	Sandefjord	17	6	3	8	-7	21
12	Sogndal	17	5	5	7	-6	20
13	Stromsgodset	17	4	7	6	-5	19
14	Kristiansund	18	4	6	8	-9	18
15	Tromso	16	3	5	8	-14	14
16	Viking	17	3	4	10	-11	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	10	7	2	1	+16	23
2	Brann	9	5	3	1	+17	18
3	Sarpsborg 08	9	5	3	1	+11	18
4	Molde	8	5	1	2	+9	16
5	Stromsgodset	8	4	3	1	+6	15
6	Valerenga	8	4	3	1	+6	15
7	Haugesund	8	4	3	1	+4	15
8	Sogndal	9	4	2	3	+4	14
9	Sandefjord	8	4	2	2	+4	14
10	Kristiansund	9	3	5	1	+3	14
11	Odd	8	4	2	2	+3	14
12	Stabaek	9	4	2	3	+1	14
13	Lillestrom	9	4	1	4	+1	13
14	Aalesund	8	4	0	4	+3	12
15	Viking	8	2	2	4	-1	8
16	Tromso	7	1	4	2	-2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	8	4	3	1	+7	15
2	Molde	9	3	3	3	+0	12
3	Sarpsborg 08	8	3	3	2	+0	12
4	Stabaek	8	3	2	3	-5	11
5	Haugesund	8	3	1	4	-1	10
6	Aalesund	9	2	4	3	-3	10
7	Brann	8	2	3	3	-1	9
8	Lillestrom	8	2	3	3	-2	9
9	Valerenga	8	2	2	4	-5	8
10	Odd	8	2	2	4	-9	8
11	Sandefjord	9	2	1	6	-11	7
12	Tromso	9	2	1	6	-12	7
13	Sogndal	8	1	3	4	-10	6
14	Viking	9	1	2	6	-10	5
15	Stromsgodset	9	0	4	5	-11	4
16	Kristiansund	9	1	1	7	-12	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.