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Conference League
Referee: T Stieler
Fenerbahce
T S S T S
1–0
Full-time
Olympiakos
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,2
4,2
Scored
2,5
3,3
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 15/5 matches
Win Ø 77%
73%
80%
Points per game
2,2
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
80%
60%
Both score Ø 54%
47%
60%
Average goals
3,7
3,8
Scored
2,6
2,4
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,69 xG 0,61
61% Possession 39%
13 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 1
3 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Fenerbahce Olympiakos
1–0 İ. Kahveci ⚽
S. Szymański
11′
36′
🟨 Francisco Ortega
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Iborra
↦ S. Jovetić
60′
🟨 Daniel Podence
61′
🟨 Konstantinos Tzolakis
64′
🔁 G. Masouras
↦ Daniel Podence
72′
🟨 Andreas Ndoj
M. Batshuayi 🔁
↦ E. Džeko
74′
C. Ünder 🔁
↦ İ. Kahveci
86′
M. Zajc 🔁
↦ Fred
86′
89′
🔁 O. Richards
↦ F. Ortega
94′
🟨 Giorgos Masouras
Sebastian Szymański 🟨
94′
Ç. Söyüncü 🔁
↦ Rodrigo Becão
100′
R. Krunić 🔁
↦ S. Szymański
105′
109′
🔁 André Horta
↦ Chiquinho
109′
🔁 Y. El-Arabi
↦ K. Fortounis
112′
🟨 Santiago Hezze
121′
⚽ A. El Kaabi 1–1
L. Bonucci 🔁
↦ İ. Yüksek
122′
D. Tadić ❌
penalty missed
122′
123′
🟥 Andreas Ndoj
123′
🟨 Andreas Ndoj
123′
❌ Y. El-Arabi
penalty missed
2–1 M. Batshuayi ⚽
124′
125′
⚽ André Horta 2–2
C. Ünder ❌
penalty missed
126′
127′
⚽ G. Masouras 2–3
3–3 A. Djiku ⚽
128′
129′
❌ Rodinei
penalty missed
L. Bonucci ❌
penalty missed
130′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

4-3-3
40 D. Livaković G
21 B. Osayi-Samuel D
50 Rodrigo Becão D
6 A. Djiku D
7 F. Kadıoğlu D
53 S. Szymański M
5 İ. Yüksek M
35 Fred M
17 İ. Kahveci F
9 E. Džeko F
10 D. Tadić F
Bench (12)
23 M. Batshuayi
20 C. Ünder
26 M. Zajc
2 Ç. Söyüncü
33 R. Krunić
19 L. Bonucci
8 M. Yandaş
11 R. Kent
15 J. King
70 İ. Eğribayat
90 Z. Dursun
67 D. Demir

Coach: İ. Kartal

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
23 Rodinei D
74 A. Ntoi D
16 David Carmo D
3 F. Ortega D
6 Chiquinho M
32 S. Hezze M
7 K. Fortounis M
22 S. Jovetić M
56 Daniel Podence M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (11)
8 Iborra
19 G. Masouras
27 O. Richards
5 André Horta
11 Y. El-Arabi
1 A. Paschalakis
18 Quini
20 João Carvalho
67 I. Koutsidis
99 T. Papadoudis
15 S. Alexandropoulos

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.