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Süper Lig

Referee: T Numanoğlu

Karagumruk

U T T U T

1–2

Full-time

Fenerbahce

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Fenerbahce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,3

4,2

Scored

0,7

2,7

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 54%

23%

84%

Points per game

1,0

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

39%

65%

Both score Ø 52%

45%

58%

Average goals

2,4

3,5

Scored

1,1

2,7

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,86 xG 2,37

45% Possession 55%

11 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 6

3 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 14

5 Yellow cards 3

2 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karagumruk 18. · Fenerbahce 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	31	27	3	1	+49	+41.0	84
2	Fenerbahce	31	26	4	1	+56	+53.3	82
3	Trabzonspor	32	16	4	12	+12	+2.6	52
4	Besiktas	32	14	6	12	+4	+9.8	48
5	Rizespor	32	14	6	12	-4	-2.3	48
6	Buyuksehyr	32	13	7	12	+4	-0.2	46
7	Kasimpasa	32	13	7	12	-2	-9.4	46
8	Sivasspor	32	11	11	10	-5	-5.2	44
9	Alanyaspor	31	10	12	9	-1	+3.8	42
10	Antalyaspor	32	10	12	10	-1	-0.5	42
11	Ad. Demirspor	32	9	13	10	+5	-1.3	40
12	Kayserispor	32	10	10	12	-9	-9.0	40
13	Samsunspor	32	10	8	14	-6	+3.8	38
14	Ankaragücü	32	8	13	11	-1	-4.7	37
15	Konyaspor	32	8	12	12	-11	-9.7	36
16	Hatayspor	32	7	12	13	-8	-7.5	33
17	Gaziantep	32	8	7	17	-15	-14.9	31
18	Karagumruk	31	7	9	15	-5	-14.0	30
19	Pendikspor	32	7	9	16	-28	-11.7	30
20	İstanbulspor	32	4	7	21	-34	-23.8	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	16	16	0	0	+29	+28.8	48
2	Fenerbahce	16	12	3	1	+29	+30.7	39
3	Rizespor	17	11	3	3	+13	+6.4	36
4	Ad. Demirspor	16	9	4	3	+15	+7.1	31
5	Samsunspor	16	9	3	4	+9	+5.5	30
6	Trabzonspor	16	9	1	6	+6	+5.3	28
7	Buyuksehyr	16	8	3	5	+7	+1.0	27
8	Besiktas	16	8	3	5	+7	+6.4	27
9	Antalyaspor	16	6	8	2	+3	+1.9	26
10	Ankaragücü	17	6	7	4	+3	+2.0	25
11	Karagumruk	15	6	6	3	+12	-0.7	24
12	Alanyaspor	15	6	6	3	+4	+4.7	24
13	Kayserispor	16	6	6	4	+3	+1.9	24
14	Sivasspor	15	5	7	3	+3	+3.3	22
15	Hatayspor	16	5	7	4	+2	-2.8	22
16	Kasimpasa	16	6	4	6	-3	-5.4	22
17	Konyaspor	15	5	4	6	+1	+2.1	19
18	Pendikspor	16	5	3	8	-10	-6.5	18
19	Gaziantep	16	4	5	7	-7	-7.9	17
20	İstanbulspor	16	2	3	11	-21	-15.4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	15	14	1	0	+27	+22.6	43
2	Galatasaray	15	11	3	1	+20	+12.3	36
3	Trabzonspor	16	7	3	6	+6	-2.7	24
4	Kasimpasa	16	7	3	6	+1	-4.0	24
5	Sivasspor	17	6	4	7	-8	-8.5	22
6	Besiktas	16	6	3	7	-3	+3.5	21
7	Buyuksehyr	16	5	4	7	-3	-1.2	19
8	Alanyaspor	16	4	6	6	-5	-0.8	18
9	Konyaspor	17	3	8	6	-12	-11.8	17
10	Antalyaspor	16	4	4	8	-4	-2.4	16
11	Kayserispor	16	4	4	8	-12	-10.8	16
12	Gaziantep	16	4	2	10	-8	-7.0	14
13	Ankaragücü	15	2	6	7	-4	-6.7	12
14	Rizespor	15	3	3	9	-17	-8.8	12
15	Pendikspor	16	2	6	8	-18	-5.2	12
16	Hatayspor	16	2	5	9	-10	-4.7	11
17	İstanbulspor	16	2	4	10	-13	-8.4	10
18	Ad. Demirspor	16	0	9	7	-10	-8.4	9
19	Samsunspor	16	1	5	10	-15	-1.7	8
20	Karagumruk	16	1	3	12	-17	-13.3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.