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Super League
Referee: M Krogh
AEK
S S S T T
3–0
Full-time
Lamia
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Lamia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
4,7
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
3,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-2,3
This season — Super League · 39/39 matches
Win Ø 45%
64%
26%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
67%
72%
Both score Ø 61%
54%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,4
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

66% Possession 34%
22 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 1. · Lamia 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 39 25 10 4 +46 85
2 Olympiakos 39 26 5 8 +49 83
3 PAOK 39 25 6 8 +51 81
4 Panathinaikos 39 24 5 10 +46 77
5 Aris Thessalonikis 35 16 7 12 +8 55
6 Aris 36 16 7 13 +7 55
7 Asteras Tripolis 35 12 5 18 -15 41
8 Panserraikos 35 9 12 14 -17 39
9 Lamia 39 10 9 20 -36 39
10 OFI Crete 35 8 14 13 -14 38
11 Atromitos 35 8 13 14 -17 37
12 Panetolikos 35 9 9 17 -20 36
13 Volos NFC 35 8 10 17 -23 34
14 Kifisia 35 5 12 18 -34 27
15 Giannina 35 4 12 19 -31 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK Lamia
1–0 R. Ljubičić
N. Amrabat
20′
2–0 S. Zuber
40′
45′
🟨 Omar Santana
Half-time 2–0
O. Pineda 🔁
↦ L. Rota
46′
46′
🔁 C. Núñez
↦ T. Lake
Domagoj Vida 🟨
54′
N. Eliasson 🔁
↦ N. Amrabat
62′
E. Ponce 🔁
↦ L. García
62′
Ezequiel Ponce ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
66′
S. Araújo 🔁
↦ S. Zuber
67′
67′
🔁 Rubén Martínez
↦ A. Tereziou
M. Gaćinović 🔁
↦ R. Ljubičić
68′
74′
🔁 N. Tsoukalos
↦ F. Malçi
86′
🔁 David Simón
↦ Omar Santana
86′
🔁 G. Kornezos
↦ Sidcley
3–0 D. Szymański
92′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
30 G. Athanasiadis G
12 L. Rota D
21 D. Vida D
18 A. Callens D
28 E. Hajisafi D
6 J. Jønsson M
4 D. Szymański M
5 N. Amrabat M
23 R. Ljubičić M
10 S. Zuber M
7 L. García F
Bench (9)
13 O. Pineda
19 N. Eliasson
14 E. Ponce
11 S. Araújo
8 M. Gaćinović
24 G. Mitoglou
1 C. Stanković
2 H. Moukoudi
20 P. Mantalos

Coach: M. Almeyda

Lamia

4-4-2
17 V. Chatziemmanouil G
2 S. Vasilantonopoulos D
5 A. Tzanetopoulos D
94 G. Giannoutsos D
16 Sidcley D
77 A. Tereziou M
21 Omar Santana M
6 T. Tzandaris M
26 T. Lake M
14 V. Slivka F
19 F. Malçi F
Bench (9)
7 C. Núñez
11 Rubén Martínez
45 N. Tsoukalos
15 David Simón
33 G. Kornezos
30 V. Kontonikos
3 G. Saramantas
55 A. Koşelev
27 C. Stanko

Coach: L. Vokolos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,05
U
12,34
B
26,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,23
U2,5
3,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Krogh · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.