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Conference League
Referee: D Schlager
Chelsea
U S S S S
4–2
Full-time
Gent
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,26 xG 0,99
70% Possession 30%
20 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Chelsea Gent
1–0 Renato Veiga ⚽
M. Mudryk
12′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Pedro Neto ⚽
A. Disasi
46′
50′
⚽ T. Watanabe 2–1
A. Guðjohnsen
3–1 C. Nkunku ⚽
Renato Veiga
63′
64′
🔁 M. Dean
↦ A. Guðjohnsen
64′
🔁 Tiago Araújo
↦ N. Fadiga
4–1 K. Dewsbury-Hall ⚽
70′
Axel Disasi 🟨
72′
78′
🔁 O. Gandelman
↦ M. Delorge
78′
🔁 S. Kums
↦ F. Surdez
T. George 🔁
↦ Pedro Neto
80′
Marc Guiu 🔁
↦ C. Nkunku
80′
89′
🔁 M. Samoise
↦ H. Gambor
90′
⚽ O. Gandelman 4–2
M. Dean
94′
🟨 Archie Brown
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Chelsea

4-2-3-1
12 F. Jørgensen G
2 A. Disasi D
4 T. Adarabioyo D
5 B. Badiashile D
40 Renato Veiga D
31 C. Casadei M
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
7 Pedro Neto M
14 João Félix M
10 M. Mudryk M
18 C. Nkunku F
Bench (10)
32 T. George
38 Marc Guiu
1 Robert Sánchez
3 Marc Cucurella
47 L. Bergström
25 M. Caicedo
6 L. Colwill
33 K. Dyer
11 N. Madueke
8 E. Fernández

Coach: E. Maresca

Gent

3-4-3
33 D. Roef G
13 S. Mitrović D
4 T. Watanabe D
23 J. Torunarigha D
12 H. Gambor M
15 A. Ito M
16 M. Delorge M
3 A. Brown M
22 N. Fadiga F
9 A. Guðjohnsen F
19 F. Surdez F
Bench (12)
21 M. Dean
20 Tiago Araújo
6 O. Gandelman
24 S. Kums
18 M. Samoise
29 Hélio Varela
25 Núrio Fortuna
27 T. De Vlieger
8 P. Gerkens
11 M. Sonko
7 Z. Vancsa
1 D. Schmidt

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.