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Europa League
Referee: D Sylwestrzak
Olympiakos
U T T T S
3–0
Full-time
Sp Braga
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
0%
71%
Points per game
0,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
0%
71%
Both score Ø 29%
0%
57%
Average goals
2,0
2,9
Scored
0,0
2,1
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,24 xG 1,59
45% Possession 55%
15 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
6 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Olympiakos Sp Braga
Panagiotis Retsos 🟨
43′
1–0 A. El Kaabi ⚽
Gelson Martins
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Ismaël Gharbi
↦ Gabri Martínez
46′
🔁 J. Gorby
↦ Vitor Carvalho
47′
🟨 Vítor Carvalho
2–0 S. Hezze ⚽
53′
Willian 🔁
↦ Chiquinho
58′
3–0 A. El Kaabi ⚽
Rodinei
59′
Santiago Hezze 🟨
63′
67′
🔁 Víctor Gómez
↦ André Horta
67′
🔁 Roger Fernandes
↦ Adrián Marín
67′
🔁 A. El Ouazzani
↦ Roberto Fernández
69′
🟨 João Ferreira
A. Ntoi 🔁
↦ P. Retsos
73′
Sérgio Oliveira 🔁
↦ Gelson Martins
73′
L. Pirola 🔁
↦ David Carmo
80′
G. Masouras 🔁
↦ Rodinei
81′
Francisco Ortega 🟨
88′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
20 Costinha D
45 P. Retsos D
16 David Carmo D
3 F. Ortega D
32 S. Hezze M
96 C. Mouzakitis M
23 Rodinei M
22 Chiquinho M
10 Gelson Martins M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (12)
18 Willian
74 A. Ntoi
27 Sérgio Oliveira
5 L. Pirola
19 G. Masouras
14 Dani García
84 C. Kostoulas
17 R. Yaremchuk
8 M. Stamenić
11 K. Velde
4 G. Biancone
1 A. Paschalakis

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Sp Braga

4-4-2
1 Matheus G
13 João Ferreira D
26 B. Arrey-Mbi D
4 S. Niakaté D
19 Adrián Marín D
6 Vitor Carvalho M
10 André Horta M
21 Ricardo Horta M
77 Gabri Martínez M
90 Roberto Fernández F
7 Bruma F
Bench (12)
20 Ismaël Gharbi
29 J. Gorby
2 Víctor Gómez
11 Roger Fernandes
9 A. El Ouazzani
53 Jonatás Noro
80 João Vasconcelos
33 João Marques
91 L. Horníček
12 Tiago Sá
27 R. Guitane
25 Yuri Ribeiro

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Sylwestrzak · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.