← Match Finder
Conference League
Referee: D Dickinson
Lugano
T U S U S
3–0
Full-time
HJK Helsinki
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Lugano HJK Helsinki
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,77 xG 0,37
62% Possession 38%
23 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
14 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lugano HJK Helsinki
Albian Hajdari 🟨
8′
1–0 A. Papadopoulos ⚽
A. Grgic
34′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Martim Marques ⚽
M. Hadj Mahmoud
56′
60′
🔁 L. Möller
↦ S. Hostikka
60′
🔁 K. Palumets
↦ A. Halme
K. Przybyłko 🔁
↦ M. Bottani
66′
Daniel Dos Santos 🔁
↦ U. Bislimi
66′
H. Mahou 🔁
↦ I. Aliseda
66′
75′
🔁 L. Plange
↦ L. Erwin
75′
🔁 A. Tanaka
↦ G. Kanellopoulos
O. Doumbia 🔁
↦ M. Hadj Mahmoud
77′
A. El Wafi 🔁
↦ Martim Marques
88′
88′
🔁 K. Meriluoto
↦ O. Kökçü
3–0 Daniel Dos Santos ⚽
K. Przybyłko
91′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Lugano

4-2-3-1
1 A. Saipi G
46 M. Zanotti D
6 A. Papadopoulos D
5 A. Hajdari D
26 Martim Marques D
29 M. Hadj Mahmoud M
8 A. Grgic M
11 R. Steffen M
25 U. Bislimi M
31 I. Aliseda M
10 M. Bottani F
Bench (11)
93 K. Przybyłko
27 Daniel Dos Santos
18 H. Mahou
20 O. Doumbia
22 A. El Wafi
2 Z. Brault-Guillard
28 Y. Ryter
17 L. Mai
21 Y. Cimignani
58 S. Osigwe
13 C. Ndiaye

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

HJK Helsinki

4-3-2-1
25 T. Nijhuis G
2 B. Lyons-Foster D
3 G. Antzoulas D
5 D. O'Shaughnessy D
30 N. Pallas D
17 H. Bandé M
6 A. Halme M
8 G. Kanellopoulos M
23 O. Kökçü M
7 S. Hostikka M
94 L. Erwin F
Bench (9)
22 L. Möller
80 K. Palumets
9 L. Plange
37 A. Tanaka
42 K. Meriluoto
4 J. Toivio
24 M. Boamah
99 A. Albanese
1 J. Öst

Coach: T. Korkeakunnas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.