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Conference League
Referee: M Redder
Petrocub
U S U T T
1–4
Full-time
Pafos
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Petrocub Pafos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,02 xG 2,06
45% Possession 55%
6 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 10
2 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Petrocub Pafos
1–0 T. Lungu
26′
33′
João Correia 1–1
37′
Jajá 1–2
I. Šunjić
Half-time 1–3
52′
João Correia 1–3
J. Silva
V. Jardan 🔁
↦ M. Agyemang
53′
60′
🔁 Domingos Quina
↦ Jajá
60′
🔁 Anderson Silva
↦ Jairo
V. Nihaev 🔁
↦ M. Căruntu
62′
D. Demian 🔁
↦ V. Ambros
62′
69′
🔁 M. Name
↦ João Correia
B. Diallo 🔁
↦ I. Borș
75′
Guilherme Matheus 🔁
↦ D. Pușcaș
75′
82′
🟨 Moustapha Name
82′
M. Name 1–4
M. Tanković
84′
🔁 M. Ilia
↦ M. Tanković
84′
🔁 Léo Natel
↦ I. Šunjić
Ion Jardan 🟨
86′
91′
🟨 Jonathan Silva
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Petrocub

3-4-3
1 S. Șmalenea G
66 I. Borș D
55 M. Agyemang D
11 S. Plătică D
90 I. Jardan M
39 T. Lungu M
20 D. Douanla M
37 D. Pușcaș M
9 V. Ambros F
22 M. Căruntu F
23 M. Lupan F
Bench (8)
30 V. Jardan
17 V. Nihaev
8 D. Demian
6 B. Diallo
14 Guilherme Matheus
31 V. Dodon
32 D. Coval
5 G. Narh

Coach: A. Martin

Pafos

4-1-4-1
1 I. Ivušić G
7 Bruno Felipe D
23 D. Luckassen D
5 David Goldar D
19 J. Silva D
26 I. Šunjić M
77 João Correia M
22 M. Tanković M
30 V. Dragomir M
11 Jajá M
10 Jairo F
Bench (10)
8 Domingos Quina
33 Anderson Silva
25 M. Name
70 M. Ilia
9 Léo Natel
88 Pêpê Rodrigues
45 Rafael Pontelo
83 P. Theodoulou
93 N. Michael
2 K. Pileas

Coach: Carcedo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Redder · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.