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Pro League
Referee: Lawrence Visser
Lokeren
U U S T U
0–3
Full-time
Gent
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lokeren Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 14/9 matches
Win Ø 31%
29%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
44%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

42% Possession 58%
3 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 5
1 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 22
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lokeren 10. · Gent 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 10 9 0 1 +17 27
2 St Truiden 15 7 3 5 -2 24
3 Anderlecht 10 7 2 1 +7 23
4 Antwerp 15 6 5 4 +2 23
5 Charleroi 10 6 3 1 +7 21
6 Beveren 15 6 3 6 +6 21
7 Waregem 15 6 1 8 -1 19
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 15 5 4 6 -4 19
9 Standard 10 4 4 2 +2 16
10 Lokeren 14 4 4 6 -4 16
11 Genk 10 3 6 1 +3 15
12 Oostende 15 4 3 8 -2 15
13 Kortrijk 15 3 5 7 -8 14
14 Gent 9 3 2 4 +3 11
15 Mechelen 15 2 5 8 -9 11
16 Eupen 15 2 4 9 -17 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lokeren Gent
Tracy Mpati 🟨
26′
42′
B. Dejaegere 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 M. Sylla
↦ R. Yaremchuk
49′
🟨 Brecht Dejaegere
Tracy Mpati 🟨
55′
Tracy Mpati 🟥
55′
57′
🟨 Dylan Bronn
A. Benchaib 🔁
↦ S. Kehli
66′
S. Marzo 🔁
↦ A. Skúlason
72′
Tom De Sutter 🟨
75′
76′
S. Kalu 0–2
B. Dejaegere
78′
🔁 T. Foket
↦ S. Kalu
82′
🟨 Lovre Kalinić
82′
🔁 D. Miličević
↦ B. Dejaegere
84′
S. Gigot 0–3
88′
🟨 Anderson Esiti
L. Enoh 🔁
↦ T. De Sutter
88′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Lokeren

4-4-1-1
13 D. Verhulst G
6 A. Skúlason D
5 M. Marić D
19 M. Tičinović D
35 T. Mpati Bibuangu D
25 J. Filipović D
22 S. De Ridder F
10 S. Kehli M
31 J. Torres M
9 T. De Sutter F
14 M. Terki F
Bench (8)
28 A. Benchaib
2 S. Marzo
29 L. Enoh
8 J. Michel
12 O. De Wolf
20 J. Rassoul
26 A. Monsecour
27 R. Söder

Coach: P. Maes

Gent

4-3-3
91 L. Kalinić G
21 N. Asare D
13 S. Mitrović D
2 S. Gigot D
22 D. Bronn D
19 B. Dejaegere F
44 A. Esiti M
31 Y. Kubo F
17 R. Yaremchuk F
27 M. Simon F
18 S. Kalu F
Bench (8)
9 M. Sylla
32 T. Foket
77 D. Miličević
5 N. Dussenne
6 B. Verstraete
11 D. Machado
15 K. Saief
20 Y. Thoelen

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Lawrence Visser · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.