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Ligue 1

Referee: Sébastien Desiage

Caen

S T T S T

1–1

Full-time

Nice

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

17%

58%

Both score Ø 21%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

37% Possession 63%

18 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 7

7 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

12 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 7. · Nice 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	11	2	0	+34	35
2	Monaco	13	9	2	2	+22	29
3	Lyon	12	7	4	1	+17	25
4	Marseille	12	7	3	2	+9	24
5	Nantes	13	7	2	4	-1	23
6	St Etienne	13	5	3	5	-4	18
7	Caen	12	6	0	6	-5	18
8	Montpellier	12	4	4	4	+1	16
9	Bordeaux	12	4	4	4	-2	16
10	Toulouse	13	4	4	5	-5	16
11	Rennes	13	4	3	6	-2	15
12	Dijon	13	4	3	6	-5	15
13	Troyes	13	4	3	6	-5	15
14	Guingamp	13	4	3	6	-8	15
15	Angers	13	2	8	3	-3	14
16	Nice	12	4	1	7	-5	13
17	Strasbourg	13	3	4	6	-9	13
18	Lille	12	3	3	6	-4	12
19	Amiens	12	3	3	6	-6	12
20	Metz	13	1	1	11	-19	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	7	0	0	+21	21
2	Monaco	6	5	1	0	+17	16
3	Lyon	6	4	2	0	+8	14
4	Nantes	6	4	1	1	+3	13
5	Guingamp	7	3	3	1	+2	12
6	Caen	6	4	0	2	+1	12
7	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+8	11
8	Toulouse	6	3	2	1	+2	11
9	St Etienne	7	3	2	2	+0	11
10	Nice	7	3	1	3	+3	10
11	Bordeaux	5	3	1	1	+3	10
12	Dijon	7	3	1	3	-1	10
13	Montpellier	7	2	3	2	+1	9
14	Strasbourg	6	2	2	2	+2	8
15	Lille	7	2	2	3	-2	8
16	Troyes	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Amiens	5	2	1	2	+0	7
18	Rennes	6	2	1	3	-1	7
19	Angers	6	0	3	3	-7	3
20	Metz	6	0	0	6	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	4	2	0	+13	14
2	Monaco	7	4	1	2	+5	13
3	Marseille	6	4	1	1	+1	13
4	Lyon	6	3	2	1	+9	11
5	Angers	7	2	5	0	+4	11
6	Nantes	7	3	1	3	-4	10
7	Rennes	7	2	2	3	-1	8
8	Montpellier	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Troyes	6	2	1	3	-2	7
10	St Etienne	6	2	1	3	-4	7
11	Bordeaux	7	1	3	3	-5	6
12	Caen	6	2	0	4	-6	6
13	Dijon	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	Amiens	7	1	2	4	-6	5
15	Toulouse	7	1	2	4	-7	5
16	Strasbourg	7	1	2	4	-11	5
17	Lille	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Metz	7	1	1	5	-7	4
19	Nice	5	1	0	4	-8	3
20	Guingamp	6	1	0	5	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.