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Conference League
Referee: M Barbu
TSC Backa Topola
T T S U T
4–3
Full-time
FC Noah
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

TSC Backa Topola FC Noah
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
2,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/13 matches
Win Ø 33%
20%
46%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
80%
54%
Both score Ø 36%
40%
31%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

3,29 xG 2,84
61% Possession 39%
26 Shots 10
11 Shots on target 7
10 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 5
15 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

TSC Backa Topola FC Noah
5′
⚽ Matheus Aiás 0–1
V. Pinson
15′
⚽ Hélder Ferreira 0–2
V. Pinson
37′
🔁 A. Avanesyan
↦ A. Dashyan
1–2 P. Stanić ⚽
A. Ćirković
41′
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 H. Hambardzumyan
↦ A. Miljković
48′
⚽ Matheus Aiás 1–3
L. Capan 🔁
↦ D. Stevanović
60′
M. Banjac 🔁
↦ A. Ćirković
60′
Mihajlo Banjac 🟨
63′
68′
🔁 Gonçalo Gregório
↦ Matheus Aiás
68′
🔁 G. Manvelyan
↦ I. Oulad Omar
Ifet Đakovac ❌
penalty missed
73′
2–3 I. Đakovac ⚽
74′
3–3 I. Đakovac ⚽
M. Pantović
76′
4–3 M. Pantović ⚽
I. Đakovac
81′
Luka Capan 🟨
86′
86′
🟨 Eraldo Cinari
A. Pejić 🔁
↦ M. Pantović
89′
Milan Radin 🟨
93′
V. Krstić 🔁
↦ M. Đorđević
95′
95′
🔁 G. Petrosyan
↦ G. Sangaré
Veljko Ilić 🟨
98′
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

TSC Backa Topola

4-3-3
12 V. Ilić G
22 Stefan Jovanović D
25 M. Đorđević D
5 D. Stevanović D
30 N. Petrović D
27 M. Pantović M
7 M. Rádin M
14 P. Stanić M
29 P. Mboungou F
35 I. Đakovac F
10 A. Ćirković F
Bench (10)
31 L. Capan
18 M. Banjac
6 A. Pejić
4 V. Krstić
1 N. Simić
23 N. Jorgić
24 Đ. Gordić
11 I. Milosavljević
9 M. Lazetić
88 B. Sós

Coach: J. Damjanović

FC Noah

4-4-2
92 A. Ploshchadny G
26 A. Miljković D
37 Gonçalo Silva D
3 S. Muradyan D
7 Hélder Ferreira D
11 E. Çinari M
10 A. Dashyan M
17 G. Sangaré M
93 V. Pinson M
9 Matheus Aiás F
81 I. Oulad Omar F
Bench (10)
18 A. Avanesyan
19 H. Hambardzumyan
8 Gonçalo Gregório
27 G. Manvelyan
30 G. Petrosyan
4 G. Þórarinsson
28 Pablo Santos
14 B. Mendoza
29 Arthur Coneglian
88 Y. Eteki

Coach: Rui Mota

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Barbu · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.