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Conference League
Referee: W Delajod
Chelsea
S S S S S
5–1
Full-time
Shamrock Rovers
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Shamrock Rovers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,2
2,8
Scored
3,2
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 7/5 matches
Win Ø 73%
86%
60%
Points per game
2,6
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
71%
60%
Both score Ø 69%
57%
80%
Average goals
4,3
3,0
Scored
3,4
2,2
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,6
+1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

2,07 xG 0,21
73% Possession 27%
20 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Chelsea Shamrock Rovers
1–0 Marc Guiu ⚽
22′
26′
⚽ M. Poom 1–1
29′
🟨 Markus Poom
2–1 Marc Guiu ⚽
34′
3–1 K. Dewsbury-Hall ⚽
C. Nkunku
40′
Half-time 3–1
H. Vale 🔁
↦ N. Madueke
46′
4–1 Marc Guiu ⚽
N. Madueke
48′
5–1 Marc Cucurella ⚽
C. Nkunku
58′
H. Murray-Campbell 🔁
↦ A. Disasi
59′
João Félix 🔁
↦ Marc Guiu
60′
62′
🟨 Roberto Lopes
67′
🔁 J. Byrne
↦ D. Watts
68′
🔁 D. Mândroiu
↦ M. Poom
73′
🔁 G. Burke
↦ N. Farrugia
73′
🔁 A. Greene
↦ J. Kenny
78′
🔁 D. Nugent
↦ G. ONeill
S. Rak-Sakyi 🔁
↦ K. Dewsbury-Hall
83′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Chelsea

4-2-3-1
12 F. Jørgensen G
34 J. Acheampong D
2 A. Disasi D
40 Renato Veiga D
3 Marc Cucurella D
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
31 C. Casadei M
11 N. Madueke M
18 C. Nkunku M
32 T. George M
38 Marc Guiu F
Bench (11)
43 H. Vale
59 H. Murray-Campbell
14 João Félix
51 S. Rak-Sakyi
76 S. Mheuka
4 T. Adarabioyo
1 Robert Sánchez
47 L. Bergström
33 K. Dyer
7 Pedro Neto
19 J. Sancho

Coach: E. Maresca

Shamrock Rovers

3-5-2
1 L. Pöhls G
6 D. Cleary D
4 Roberto Lopes D
5 L. Grace D
21 D. Burns M
7 D. Watts M
16 G. O'Neill M
19 M. Poom M
2 J. Honohan M
24 J. Kenny F
23 N. Farrugia F
Bench (12)
29 J. Byrne
22 D. Mândroiu
10 G. Burke
9 A. Greene
15 D. Nugent
11 S. Kavanagh
41 A. Noonan
18 T. Clarke
25 L. Steacy
27 Cory O'Sullivan
8 A. McEneff
34 C. Noonan

Coach: S. Bradley

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Delajod · 165 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.