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Conference League
Referee: C Turpin
Pafos
S T S U U
2–1
Full-time
Omonia Nicosia
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pafos Omonia Nicosia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 50%
46%
54%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
62%
46%
Both score Ø 39%
46%
31%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,80 xG 0,77
51% Possession 49%
20 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Feb -25 Omonia Nicosia – Pafos 1–1

Match report

Pafos Omonia Nicosia
1–0 Bruno Felipe ⚽
28′
Half-time 1–0
Vlad Dragomir ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
46′
60′
⚽ S. Jovetić 1–1
A. Kakoullis
2–1 J. Silva ⚽
M. Tanković
65′
Z. Šarlija 🔁
↦ Bruno Felipe
69′
M. Oršić 🔁
↦ João Correia
69′
Anderson Silva 🔁
↦ Jairo
73′
75′
🔁 M. Stępiński
↦ M. Marić
76′
🔁 S. Alioum
↦ L. Loizou
K. Sema 🔁
↦ J. Silva
84′
88′
🟨 Stevan Jovetić
92′
🟨 Senou Coulibaly
Ivan Šunjić 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Pafos

4-2-3-1
1 I. Ivušić G
7 Bruno Felipe D
23 D. Luckassen D
5 David Goldar D
19 J. Silva D
88 Pêpê Rodrigues M
26 I. Šunjić M
77 João Correia M
30 V. Dragomir M
22 M. Tanković M
10 Jairo F
Bench (9)
21 Z. Šarlija
17 M. Oršić
33 Anderson Silva
12 K. Sema
70 M. Ilia
2 K. Pileas
83 P. Theodoulou
93 N. Michael
8 Domingos Quina

Coach: Carcedo

Omonia Nicosia

4-4-1-1
40 Fabiano G
2 A. Dionkou D
5 S. Coulibaly D
30 N. Panagiotou D
24 A. Khammas D
75 L. Loizou M
80 N. Eraković M
20 M. Marić M
7 Willy Semedo M
8 S. Jovetić F
9 A. Kakoullis F
Bench (12)
14 M. Stępiński
99 S. Alioum
76 C. Charalampous
23 F. Uzoho
31 I. Kousoulos
98 C. Kyriakides
27 S. Simič
19 M. Ingebrigtsen
85 A. Neophytou
4 F. Helander
3 F. Kitsos
11 Ewandro

Coach: Y. Anastasiou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.