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Conference League
Referee: P Raczkowski
Pafos
S S T S T
2–0
Full-time
Celje
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pafos Celje
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,7
4,2
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 10/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
70%
83%
Both score Ø 62%
40%
83%
Average goals
2,9
4,2
Scored
1,9
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,61 xG 1,02
50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Pafos Celje
16′
🟨 Tamar Svetlin
Derrick Luckassen 🟨
22′
24′
❌ Mark Zabukovnik
penalty missed
João Correia 🟨
28′
Kostas Pileas 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 V. Dragomir ⚽
Jairo
48′
56′
🔁 S. Sešlar
↦ M. Kvesić
Rafael Pontelo 🔁
↦ K. Pileas
59′
2–0 João Correia ⚽
Jairo
63′
Jajá 🔁
↦ João Correia
67′
67′
🔁 C. Lhernault
↦ M. Dulca
75′
🔁 D. Vukliševič
↦ Juanjo Nieto
75′
🔁 Edmilson
↦ A. Matko
M. Name 🔁
↦ Pêpê Rodrigues
85′
Anderson Silva 🔁
↦ Jairo
85′
Domingos Quina 🔁
↦ M. Tanković
85′
Moustapha Name 🟨
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Pafos

4-2-3-1
1 I. Ivušić G
7 Bruno Felipe D
23 D. Luckassen D
5 David Goldar D
2 K. Pileas D
26 I. Šunjić M
88 Pêpê Rodrigues M
77 João Correia M
30 V. Dragomir M
22 M. Tanković M
10 Jairo F
Bench (9)
45 Rafael Pontelo
11 Jajá
25 M. Name
33 Anderson Silva
8 Domingos Quina
70 M. Ilia
9 Léo Natel
93 N. Michael
83 P. Theodoulou

Coach: Carcedo

Celje

4-2-3-1
22 M. Rožman G
23 Ž. Karničnik D
6 D. Zec D
81 K. Nemanič D
2 Juanjo Nieto D
19 M. Zabukovnik M
4 M. Dulca M
88 T. Svetlin M
16 M. Kvesić M
77 I. Brnić M
7 A. Matko F
Bench (6)
11 S. Sešlar
5 C. Lhernault
3 D. Vukliševič
30 Edmilson
12 L. Kolar
10 N. Kouter

Coach: Albert Riera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

P Raczkowski · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.