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Conference League
Referee: R Gidzhenov
0–3
Full-time
Legia
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Omonia Nicosia Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
0%
83%
Average goals
2,7
4,5
Scored
2,0
2,8
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 78%
67%
89%
Points per game
2,0
2,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 22%
22%
22%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
2,0
2,9
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+2,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,35 xG 1,56
56% Possession 44%
8 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Omonia Nicosia Legia
17′
R. Morishita 0–1
Marc Gual
25′
🟨 Ryoya Morishita
Mateo Marić 🟨
27′
Half-time 0–1
S. Alioum 🔁
↦ G. Masouras
46′
N. Eraković 🔁
↦ I. Kousoulos
46′
A. Kakoullis 🔁
↦ M. Stępiński
60′
63′
🔁 P. Kun
↦ Rúben Vinagre
63′
🔁 J. Çelhaka
↦ R. Morishita
Ewandro 🔁
↦ Willy Semedo
76′
76′
🔁 M. Szczepaniak
↦ K. Chodyna
77′
M. Szczepaniak 0–2
R. Augustyniak
L. Loizou 🔁
↦ V. Simić
82′
85′
🔁 J. Majchrzak
↦ Marc Gual
85′
P. Wszołek 0–3
89′
🟨 Bartosz Kapustka
Ewandro Costa 🟨
92′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Omonia Nicosia

4-4-1-1
40 Fabiano G
2 A. Dionkou D
5 S. Coulibaly D
30 N. Panagiotou D
24 A. Khammas D
17 G. Masouras M
31 I. Kousoulos M
20 M. Marić M
7 Willy Semedo M
21 V. Simić F
14 M. Stępiński F
Bench (12)
99 S. Alioum
80 N. Eraković
9 A. Kakoullis
11 Ewandro
75 L. Loizou
4 F. Helander
3 F. Kitsos
23 F. Uzoho
22 Á. Lang
10 O. Atzili
98 C. Kyriakides
76 C. Charalampous

Coach: V. Dambrauskas

Legia

4-3-3
27 G. Kobylak G
13 P. Wszołek D
12 R. Pankov D
3 S. Kapuadi D
19 Rúben Vinagre D
67 B. Kapustka M
8 R. Augustyniak M
25 R. Morishita M
11 K. Chodyna F
28 Marc Gual F
82 Luquinhas F
Bench (11)
23 P. Kun
21 J. Çelhaka
71 M. Szczepaniak
99 J. Majchrzak
50 W. Banasik
7 T. Pekhart
55 A. Jędrzejczyk
17 M. Alfarela
31 M. Mendes-Dudziński
42 Sergio Barcia
24 J. Ziółkowski

Coach: Gonçalo Feio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.