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Conference League
Referee: S Sozza
1–1
Full-time
Pafos
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Omonia Nicosia Pafos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 54%
58%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
25%
42%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,8
1,9
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,44 xG 1,46
40% Possession 60%
10 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 9
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Omonia Nicosia Pafos
Andronikos Kakoullis 🟨
5′
5′
🟨 Muamer Tanković
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Jonathan Silva
1–0 Willy Semedo
51′
63′
🔁 M. Oršić
↦ Jajá
Stevan Jovetić 🟨
68′
73′
Muamer Tanković
penalty missed
75′
🔁 Anderson Silva
↦ Jairo
75′
🔁 K. Sema
↦ J. Silva
79′
🟨 David Goldar
84′
M. Oršić 1–1
K. Sema
S. Alioum 🔁
↦ Willy Semedo
88′
I. Kousoulos 🔁
↦ N. Eraković
88′
G. Masouras 🔁
↦ A. Dionkou
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Omonia Nicosia

4-3-3
40 Fabiano G
2 A. Dionkou D
5 S. Coulibaly D
30 N. Panagiotou D
24 A. Khammas D
80 N. Eraković M
20 M. Marić M
8 S. Jovetić M
75 L. Loizou F
9 A. Kakoullis F
7 Willy Semedo F
Bench (12)
99 S. Alioum
31 I. Kousoulos
17 G. Masouras
14 M. Stępiński
4 F. Helander
11 Ewandro
23 F. Uzoho
85 A. Neophytou
3 F. Kitsos
19 M. Ingebrigtsen
27 S. Simič
76 C. Charalampous

Coach: Y. Anastasiou

Pafos

4-4-2
1 I. Ivušić G
7 Bruno Felipe D
21 Z. Šarlija D
5 David Goldar D
19 J. Silva D
11 Jajá M
26 I. Šunjić M
88 Pêpê Rodrigues M
22 M. Tanković M
10 Jairo F
30 V. Dragomir F
Bench (7)
17 M. Oršić
33 Anderson Silva
12 K. Sema
93 N. Michael
70 M. Ilia
2 K. Pileas
83 P. Theodoulou

Coach: Carcedo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Sozza · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.