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Conference League
Referee: D Robertson
Pafos
S T S S T
1–0
Full-time
FC Astana
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pafos FC Astana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 57%
50%
63%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
75%
38%
Both score Ø 38%
38%
38%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,61 xG 0,06
66% Possession 34%
32 Shots 2
13 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 13
12 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Pafos FC Astana
42′
🟨 Islambek Kuat
Half-time 0–0
52′
🟨 Mukhamedjan Seisen
Jajá 🔁
↦ Domingos Quina
57′
João Correia 🔁
↦ J. Silva
68′
Anderson Silva 🔁
↦ Bruno Felipe
68′
1–0 Anderson Silva ⚽
Jajá
87′
88′
🔁 N. Zhaksylyk
↦ S. Basmanov
M. Name 🔁
↦ Jairo
91′
91′
🔁 B. Mustafin
↦ R. Karimov
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Pafos

4-2-3-1
1 I. Ivušić G
7 Bruno Felipe D
23 D. Luckassen D
5 David Goldar D
19 J. Silva D
26 I. Šunjić M
88 Pêpê Rodrigues M
22 M. Tanković M
30 V. Dragomir M
8 Domingos Quina M
10 Jairo F
Bench (10)
11 Jajá
77 João Correia
33 Anderson Silva
25 M. Name
2 K. Pileas
83 P. Theodoulou
93 N. Michael
70 M. Ilia
45 Rafael Pontelo
9 Léo Natel

Coach: Carcedo

FC Astana

5-4-1
74 M. Seysen G
72 S. Basmanov D
15 A. Beysebekov D
22 A. Marochkin D
4 M. Bystrov D
27 T. Dosmagambetov D
11 N. Ahanonu M
19 B. Osei M
8 I. Kuat M
21 E. Astanov M
81 R. Karimov F
Bench (7)
97 N. Zhaksylyk
96 B. Mustafin
53 A. Berezutskiy
55 A. Zarutskiy
71 S. Anuarov
47 M. Mamontov
52 T. Tokenov

Coach: G. Babayan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.