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Conference League
Referee: Karel Roucek
2–4
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

BFC Daugavpils Vllaznia Shkodër
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
100%
17%
Points per game
3,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
0,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,5
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

BFC Daugavpils Vllaznia Shkodër
22′
A. Mensah 0–1
E. Gurishta
31′
🟨 Alexandros Kouros
E. Sala 🔁
↦ K. Qato
32′
1–1 W. Williams
G. Mihalcovs
33′
2–1 B. Diallo
J. Minins
35′
45′
A. Yago 2–2
A. Kouros
Half-time 2–2
E. Gjini 🔁
↦ A. Kouros
46′
Wasiri Ola Williams 🟨
48′
51′
🟨 Melos Bajrami
55′
🟨 Erdenis Gurishta
E. Mala 🔁
↦ M. Bajrami
56′
62′
🔁 F. Konate
↦ B. Diallo
G. Kubazi 🔁
↦ A. Mensah
71′
E. Tafili 🔁
↦ A. Krymi
71′
74′
K. Dodaj 2–3
77′
🔁 V. Promise
↦ V. Lizunovs
77′
🔁 M. Saidy
↦ J. Minins
79′
🟨 Eslit Sala
87′
E. Mala 2–4
K. Dodaj
89′
🔁 R. Skrebels
↦ A. Kudelkins
89′
🔁 W. Fofana
↦ D. Cucurs
Gļebs Mihaļcovs 🟨
90′
95′
🟨 Bekim Balaj
95′
🟨 Andrey Yago
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

BFC Daugavpils

4-3-3
1 K. Qarri
2 E. Gurishta
55 A. Kouros
16 M. Bajrami
29 A. Yago
14 A. Kruja
6 A. Krymi
25 K. Qato
99 A. Mensah
9 B. Balaj
22 K. Dodaj
Bench (12)
12 A. Jukaj
3 G. Pusi
8 E. Sala
17 X. Hajdari
19 A. Ara
20 E. Mala
23 E. Hakaj
27 G. Kubazi
33 A. Brahimi
40 E. Tafili
77 A. Delaj
92 E. Gjini

Coach: Kirill Kurbatov

Vllaznia Shkodër

4-3-3
1 J. Beks
5 A. Kudelkins
4 W. Williams
20 C. Taty
37 G. Mihalcovs
97 J. Minins
24 E. Ivanovs
21 T. Diakite
33 D. Cucurs
30 B. Diallo
27 V. Lizunovs
Bench (12)
58 J. Saveljevs
6 N. Barkovskis
8 R. Skrebels
9 S. Murakami
10 W. Fofana
18 M. Kopilovs
22 A. Garzha
23 V. Promise
25 M. Saidy
29 F. Konate
66 K. Bujanovs
99 A. Galajs

Coach: Eduard Martini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.