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Europa League
Referee: Mohammad Usman Aslam
Ilves
S T U T T
0–0
Full-time
Shakhtar Donetsk
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ilves Shakhtar Donetsk
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 35%
20%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 82%
80%
83%
Both score Ø 74%
80%
67%
Average goals
4,4
4,3
Scored
1,4
2,3
Conceded
3,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,6
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
6,0
6,0
Scored
0,0
6,0
Conceded
6,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-6,0
+6,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Jul -25 Shakhtar Donetsk – Ilves 6–0

Match report

Ilves Shakhtar Donetsk
40′
🟨 Vinícius Tobias
Half-time 0–0
55′
🔁 M. Shved
↦ Eguinaldo
55′
🔁 G. Gocholeishvili
↦ V. Tobias
J. Veteli 🔁
↦ A. Popovitch
58′
O. Jukkola 🔁
↦ V. Ulundu
58′
68′
🔁 G. Sudakov
↦ A. Bondarenko
68′
🔁 Kaua Elias
↦ L. Traore
O. Tiitinen 🔁
↦ F. Aspegren
68′
A. Akinyemi 🔁
↦ M. Stjopin
68′
Oiva Jukkola 🟨
70′
81′
🔁 Y. Nazaryna
↦ Pedrinho
M. Soderback 🔁
↦ J. Kanga
83′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Ilves

3-4-3
1 O. Virtanen
22 A. Maenpaa
16 T. Miettunen
24 V. Kumpu
13 K. Wallius
42 F. Aspegren
14 A. Popovitch
18 V. Ulundu
30 J. Kanga
9 T. Hytonen
8 M. Stjopin
Bench (11)
12 F. Krkalic
32 L. Vayrynen
3 M. Rale
5 S. Vaisanen
7 J. Veteli
10 R. Riski
17 M. Soderback
19 O. Jukkola
20 O. Tiitinen
21 J. Moisio
27 A. Akinyemi

Coach: Joonas Rantanen

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
31 D. Riznyk
17 V. Tobias
18 A. Ghram
5 V. Bondar
16 I. Azarovi
27 O. Ocheretko
7 Eguinaldo
21 A. Bondarenko
38 Pedrinho
39 Newerton
2 L. Traore
Bench (12)
23 K. Fesyun
6 Marlon Gomes
9 M. Shved
10 G. Sudakov
11 Kevin
12 G. Gocholeishvili
13 P. Henrique
19 Kaua Elias
22 M. Matviienko
26 Y. Konoplya
29 Y. Nazaryna
30 Alisson

Coach: Arda Turan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Mohammad Usman Aslam · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.