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Conference League
Referee: Marton Rusz
Penybont
U T T
1–1
Full-time
Kauno Žalgiris
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Penybont Kauno Žalgiris
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
0%
20%
Points per game
0,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
33%
60%
Both score Ø 37%
33%
40%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,4
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Jul -25 Kauno Žalgiris – Penybont 3–0

Match report

Penybont Kauno Žalgiris
Owain Warlow 🟥
-5′
13′
⚽ A. Hernandez 0–1
G. Sirgedas
1–1 N. Wood ⚽
17′
James Crole 🟨
19′
19′
🟨 Fedor Černych
Owen Pritchard 🟨
35′
Half-time 1–1
Clayton Green 🟨
47′
D. Naah 🔁
↦ D. Pavlovic
47′
57′
🔁 K. Owen
↦ J. Jones
57′
🔁 C. Venables
↦ N. Wood
Kane Owen 🟨
58′
Mark Little 🟨
63′
63′
🔁 M. Little
↦ K. Ludvigsen
74′
🔁 J. Clay
↦ C. Green
74′
🔁 B. Borge
↦ J. Woodiwiss
V. Armanavicius 🔁
↦ F. Cernych
76′
N. Vosylius 🔁
↦ T. Chogadze
82′
V. Paulauskas 🔁
↦ G. Sirgedas
82′
Chris Venables 🟨
87′
D. Kerkez 🔁
↦ R. Jansonas
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Penybont

4-1-4-1
22 D. Mikelionis
21 H. Bah-Traore
3 A. Tolordava
23 A. Hernandez
37 N. Iyobosa Edokpolor
10 G. Sirgedas
6 D. Pavlovic
9 T. Chogadze
28 E. Burdzilauskas
11 F. Cernych
19 R. Jansonas
Bench (12)
35 J. Miksiunas
55 T. Svedkauskas
2 T. Burdzilauskas
5 D. Kerkez
7 A. Benchaib
8 V. Armanavicius
14 D. Naah
20 R. Lekiatas
30 N. Vosylius
66 E. Jurjonas
70 F. Ourega
79 V. Paulauskas

Coach: Rhys Thomas Griffiths

Kauno Žalgiris

1 L. Armstrong
5 J. Woodiwiss
2 K. Ludvigsen
4 G. Kircough
18 J. Jones
21 A. Baker
11 N. Daley
8 O. Pritchard
29 C. Green
7 N. Wood
10 J. Crole
Bench (10)
20 A. Best
35 J. Price
3 K. Owen
9 C. Venables
14 I. Phillips
15 J. Clay
16 B. Borge
17 O. Warlow
30 M. Little
33 A. Cvetkovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.