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Conference League
Referee: Klim Zabroda
Paide
T S T U S
4–1
Full-time
Magpies
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paide Magpies
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,8
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
2,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,5
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
5,0
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Jul -25 Magpies – Paide 2–3

Match report

Paide Magpies
1–0 M. Miller ⚽
D. Luts
36′
Half-time 1–0
J. Del Rio 🔁
↦ V. Parkes
46′
M. Campana 🔁
↦ E. Busto
46′
H. Stevens 🔁
↦ A. Parody
61′
2–0 P. Corr ⚽
G. Juhkam
66′
C. Dominguez 🔁
↦ E. De Haro
69′
3–0 P. Corr ⚽
L. Gilmore
71′
74′
🔁 P. A. Cham
↦ P. Corr
74′
🔁 S. Luts
↦ D. Luts
76′
⚽ J. Del Rio 3–1
80′
🔁 O. Hoim
↦ M. Miller
L. Clinton 🔁
↦ D. Borge
87′
87′
🔁 M. Lilander
↦ M. Gueye
87′
🔁 N. Baranov
↦ G. Juhkam
4–1 P. A. Cham ⚽
S. Luts
89′
91′
🟨 Klaudio Krasniqi
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Paide

1 S. Funez
2 E. Busto
24 F. M. Villar
32 K. Ronco
4 J. Britto
17 K. Krasniqi
8 E. De Haro
14 J. Perera
20 V. Parkes
9 D. Borge
3 A. Parody
Bench (9)
12 D. Tudela
5 F. Zuniga
6 A. Hernandez
7 A. Hernandez
10 J. Del Rio
11 C. Dominguez
15 H. Stevens
16 L. Clinton
23 M. Campana

Magpies

4-3-3
99 E. Jarju
25 M. Gueye
5 G. Juhkam
23 M. Delevic
29 J. Saliste
10 M. Miller
6 L. Gilmore
8 H. Ojamaa
77 D. Luts
7 P. Corr
14 R. Saarma
Bench (12)
12 M. Meerits
70 R. Isakar
2 M. Lilander
9 H. Anier
11 S. Reinkort
15 H. Ojamaa
17 P. A. Cham
19 S. Luts
22 S. Soo
27 N. Baranov
28 O. Hoim
30 A. Badamosi

Coach: Youri Loen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.