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Conference League
Referee: Florjan Lata
Pyunik Yerevan
S S S T T
5–0
Full-time
Tre Fiori
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pyunik Yerevan Tre Fiori
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 64%
67%
60%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 27%
33%
20%
Both score Ø 27%
33%
20%
Average goals
2,2
1,4
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,6
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Jul -25 Tre Fiori – Pyunik Yerevan 1–0

Match report

Pyunik Yerevan Tre Fiori
1–0 Y. Otubanjo ⚽
14′
18′
🟨 Matteo Prandelli
2–0 Alemao ⚽
J. Moreno Sanchez
24′
32′
🟨 Giacomo Matteoni
39′
🟨 Luca Censoni
3–0 M. Noubissi ⚽
40′
Half-time 3–0
L. Braschi 🔁
↦ L. Censoni
46′
N. Sensoli 🔁
↦ M. Ferri
46′
D. Moretti 🔁
↦ G. Matteoni
46′
46′
🔁 S. Udo
↦ S. Islamovic
46′
🔁 S. Metoyan
↦ M. Noubissi
64′
🔁 M. Vareika
↦ J. Moreno Sanchez
64′
🔁 D. Kulikov
↦ D. Aghbalyan
A. Guerra 🔁
↦ P. Vandi
71′
72′
🔁 A. Miljkovic
↦ G. Tarakhchyan
Solomon Udo 🟨
78′
F. Ciccione 🔁
↦ F. Dolcini
82′
4–0 Y. Otubanjo ⚽
M. Vareika
85′
Sargis Metoyan 🟨
89′
4–1 M. Manfroni ⚽
own goal
89′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Pyunik Yerevan

17 M. Nardi
2 G. Matteoni
5 S. Rea
23 A. Sirri
36 M. Manfroni
20 F. Benedettini
8 L. Censoni
16 F. Dolcini
12 P. Vandi
77 M. Ferri
9 M. Prandelli
Bench (7)
25 A. Castagnoli
7 F. Ciccione
11 A. Pini
13 L. Braschi
21 N. Sensoli
26 A. Guerra
66 D. Moretti

Tre Fiori

3-5-2
16 H. Avagyan
2 Alemao
79 S. Vakulenko
76 F. Almeida
3 N. Kainourgios
13 D. Aghbalyan
22 S. Islamovic
14 Y. Otubanjo
10 J. Moreno Sanchez
99 M. Noubissi
8 G. Tarakhchyan
Bench (12)
71 S. Buchnev
4 S. Udo
7 E. Malakyan
9 M. Vareika
11 J. Bopesu
15 M. Kovalenko
18 K. Hovhannisyan
19 S. Metoyan
21 S. Galstyan
23 V. Goncalves
25 D. Kulikov
26 A. Miljkovic

Coach: Danilo Girolomoni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.