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Conference League
Referee: Helgi Mikael Jonasson
HJK Helsinki
T T U T T
5–0
Full-time
NSI Runavik
S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HJK Helsinki NSI Runavik
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
2,2
4,0
Scored
0,5
4,0
Conceded
1,7
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+4,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
0,0
4,0
Conceded
4,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-4,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Jul -25 NSI Runavik – HJK Helsinki 4–0

Match report

HJK Helsinki NSI Runavik
15′
🟥 Fabian Östigard Ness
1–0 L. Lingman ⚽
B. Michel
18′
Half-time 1–0
H. Diaby 🔁
↦ M. Przybylski
46′
46′
🔁 S. Hostikka
↦ K. Kouassivi-Benissan
2–0 A. Ring ⚽
L. Lingman
53′
59′
🔁 M. Ylitolva
↦ B. Lyons-Foster
59′
🔁 K. Meriluoto
↦ G. Kanellopoulos
B. Nolsoe 🔁
↦ J. van Der Heyden
68′
3–0 S. Hostikka ⚽
P. Mentu
79′
H. Osen 🔁
↦ E. W. Joensen
85′
4–0 G. Antzoulas ⚽
A. Ring
90′
5–0 S. Hostikka ⚽
93′
95′
🟨 Kristian Joensen
97′
🔁 K. Simojoki
↦ T. Pukki
100′
🟨 Hassou Diaby
104′
🔁 M. Boamah
↦ L. Lingman
Benji Michel 🟨
107′
108′
🔁 O. Hannula
↦ V. Tikkanen
Santeri Hostikka 🟨
109′
109′
🟨 Henrik Olav Hatlen Osen
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

HJK Helsinki

4-3-3
1 K. Joensen
17 J. Benjaminsen
4 D. Obbekjaer
3 L. Markmanrud
13 F. O. Ness
8 B. Hendriksson
33 M. Przybylski
29 E. W. Joensen
27 A. Knudsen
10 K. Olsen
11 J. van Der Heyden
Bench (12)
25 J. Thomsen
30 S. Hansen
2 H. Osen
5 H. Diaby
6 B. Nolsoe
15 P. Hentze
16 P. Knudsen
19 T. Knudsen
23 B. Olsen
24 B. Hansen
28 M. Danielsen
43 K. Jablinski

Coach: Miika Nuutinen

NSI Runavik

4-3-3
25 T. Nijhuis
2 B. Lyons-Foster
3 G. Antzoulas
6 V. Tikkanen
27 K. Kouassivi-Benissan
8 G. Kanellopoulos
4 A. Ring
10 L. Lingman
99 B. Michel
20 T. Pukki
21 P. Mentu
Bench (9)
1 J. Ost
16 E. Henriksson
7 S. Hostikka
13 K. Simojoki
24 M. Boamah
28 M. Ylitolva
42 K. Meriluoto
49 O. Hannula
95 S. Baranov

Coach: Jens Christer Carl Wedeborg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.