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Conference League
Referee: Mykola Balakin
Virtus
T T T S T
1–3
Full-time
Breidablik
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Virtus Breidablik
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — Conference League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Aug -25 Breidablik – Virtus 2–1

Match report

Virtus Breidablik
17′
⚽ K. Kristinsson 0–1
25′
🟨 Viktor Karl Einarsson
Matteo Zenoni 🟨
32′
1–1 A. Niang ⚽
M. Zenoni
41′
Matteo Legittimo 🟨
43′
Matteo Zenoni 🟨
43′
Ivan Buonocunto 🟨
43′
Matteo Zenoni 🟥
43′
Half-time 1–1
K. Steindorsson 🔁
↦ V. Einarsson
50′
59′
⚽ D. Ingvarsson 1–2
A. Thorsteinsson
65′
🔁 T. Lombardi
↦ N. Gori
65′
🔁 A. Amati
↦ A. Montanari
A. Bjarnason 🔁
↦ A. Thorsteinsson
68′
T. Thomsen 🔁
↦ K. Kristinsson
68′
Roberto Sabato 🟨
70′
70′
🔁 U. De Lucia
↦ R. Sabato
77′
🔁 S. Benincasa
↦ I. Buonocunto
77′
⚽ T. Thomsen 1–3
A. Bjarnason
Stefano Scappini 🟨
79′
O. Omarsson 🔁
↦ K. Jonsson
80′
G. Magnusson 🔁
↦ A. Jonsson
80′
Simone Benincasa 🟨
83′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Virtus

4-3-3
1 A. Einarsson
17 V. Valgeirsson
44 D. Muminovic
4 A. Orrason
19 K. Jonsson
7 H. Gunnlaugsson
6 A. Jonsson
8 V. Einarsson
15 A. Thorsteinsson
23 K. Kristinsson
18 D. Ingvarsson
Bench (12)
12 B. Bragason
33 G. Snaeholm
9 O. Omarsson
10 K. Steindorsson
11 A. Bjarnason
13 A. Ludviksson
29 G. Hallsson
30 A. Yeoman
32 K. Bjorgvinsson
45 T. Ulfarsson
77 T. Thomsen
99 G. Magnusson

Coach: Luigi Bizzotto

Breidablik

4-3-3
12 S. Guddo
15 N. Gori
26 A. Giacomoni
18 M. Legittimo
6 R. Sabato
10 I. Buonocunto
4 A. Montanari
17 A. Golinucci
19 A. Niang
90 S. Scappini
33 M. Zenoni
Bench (9)
39 A. Passaniti
7 M. Battistini
11 T. Lombardi
16 J. Muggeo
20 G. Capicchioni
21 A. Amati
25 S. Benincasa
34 U. De Lucia
45 E. Ciacci

Coach: Halldór Árnason

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.