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Conference League
Referee: Jeremie Pignard
Vallecano
S U S S T
4–0
Full-time
Neman
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Neman
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/7 matches
Win Ø 79%
100%
57%
Points per game
3,0
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 22%
0%
43%
Both score Ø 22%
0%
43%
Average goals
1,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

69% Possession 31%
13 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 0
5 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Aug -25 Neman – Vallecano 0–1

Match report

Vallecano Neman
15′
🟨 Oleg Evdokimov
Gerard Gumbau 🟨
33′
Sergio Camello ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
43′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 U. Lopez
↦ G. Gumbau
53′
🟨 Amantur Shamurzaev
60′
🔁 A. Garcia
↦ F. Perez
60′
🔁 J. de Frutos
↦ R. Nteka
Y. Klochkov 🔁
↦ A. Suchkov
61′
P. Savitskiy 🔁
↦ E. Zubovich
61′
1–0 A. Garcia ⚽
64′
2–0 S. Camello ⚽
A. Garcia
66′
67′
🔁 I. Palazon
↦ O. Trejo
A. Yakimov 🔁
↦ S. Pushnyakov
77′
3–0 J. de Frutos ⚽
U. Lopez
80′
V. Ahmedi 🔁
↦ M. Kozlov
82′
G. Borubaev 🔁
↦ O. Evdokimov
82′
83′
🔁 P. Fernandez
↦ F. Lejeune
4–0 A. Garcia ⚽
89′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Vallecano

4-3-3
12 M. Belov
8 Y. Pantya
20 I. Sadovnichiy
5 E. Parkhomenko
27 A. Shamurzaev
47 M. Kozlov
6 A. Nazarenko
15 O. Evdokimov
17 E. Zubovich
71 A. Suchkov
9 S. Pushnyakov
Bench (12)
1 A. Malievskiy
7 Y. Klochkov
11 Y. Gavrilov
18 M. Kravtsov
19 K. Kuchinskiy
24 A. Yakimov
30 V. Ahmedi
32 Y. Pavlyukovets
46 A. Legchilin
50 A. Shalashnikov
88 P. Savitskiy
99 G. Borubaev

Coach: Iñigo Pérez Soto

Neman

4-2-3-1
13 A. Batalla
20 I. Balliu
24 F. Lejeune
33 J. Vertrouwd
22 Pacha
8 O. Trejo
23 O. Valentin
15 G. Gumbau
21 F. Perez
11 R. Nteka
10 S. Camello
Bench (12)
1 D. Cardenas
2 A. Ratiu
3 P. Chavarria
4 P. Diaz
6 P. Ciss
7 I. Palazon
17 U. Lopez
18 A. Garcia
19 J. de Frutos
26 M. de las Sias
27 P. Fernandez
28 S. Becerra

Coach: Igor Kovalevich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jeremie Pignard · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.