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Europa League
Referee: Davide Massa
Genk
T S S T S
1–2
Full-time
Lech Poznan
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
6,0
6,0
Scored
5,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
5,0
Goal diff per game
+4,0
-4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

64% Possession 36%
12 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Aug -25 Lech Poznan – Genk 1–5

Match report

Genk Lech Poznan
1–0 J. Ito ⚽
N. Sattlberger
31′
33′
🟨 Wojciech Mońka
Junya Ito 🟨
35′
43′
⚽ K. Lisman 1–1
B. Fiabema
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 L. Bengtsson
↦ L. Palma
46′
🔁 G. Thordarson
↦ A. Kozubal
56′
⚽ L. Bengtsson 1–2
60′
🔁 A. Douglas
↦ M. Skrzypczak
60′
🔁 F. Szymczak
↦ B. Fiabema
J. Steuckers 🔁
↦ J. Ito
67′
B. Heynen 🔁
↦ P. Hrosovsky
67′
Y. Sor 🔁
↦ N. Adedeji-Sternberg
67′
70′
🔁 B. Baranski
↦ P. Rodriguez
J. Kayembe 🔁
↦ Y. Medina
78′
R. Mirisola 🔁
↦ Oh Hyeon-Gyu
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Genk

4-4-2
26 T. Lawal
27 K. Nkuba
44 J. Kongolo
6 M. Smets
19 Y. Medina
24 N. Sattlberger
20 K. Karetsas
17 P. Hrosovsky
32 N. Adedeji-Sternberg
9 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
10 J. Ito
Bench (12)
28 L. Mounganga
71 B. Stevens
3 M. Sadick
7 J. Steuckers
8 B. Heynen
14 Y. Sor
18 J. Kayembe
21 I. Bangoura
23 A. Bibout
29 R. Mirisola
34 A. Palacios
77 Z. El Ouahdi

Coach: Thorsten Fink

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
41 B. Mrozek
4 J. Moutinho
72 M. Skrzypczak
27 W. Monka
15 M. Gurgul
6 T. Ouma
43 A. Kozubal
56 K. Lisman
99 P. Rodriguez
77 L. Palma
19 B. Fiabema
Bench (9)
31 K. Bakowski
33 M. Pruchniewski
3 A. Douglas
14 L. Bengtsson
17 F. Szymczak
21 B. Baranski
23 G. Thordarson
24 F. Jagiello
53 S. Dudek

Coach: Niels Frederiksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Davide Massa · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.