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Europa League
Referee: Simone Sozza
KuPS
S T S S T
0–2
Full-time
Midtjylland
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

KuPS Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,2
4,0
Scored
0,8
3,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 74%
67%
80%
Points per game
2,0
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
67%
60%
Both score Ø 47%
33%
60%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,4
Conceded
1,7
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
8 Shots 30
6 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
1 Corners 10
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Aug -25 Midtjylland – KuPS 4–0

Match report

KuPS Midtjylland
Arttu Lötjönen 🟥
38′
P. Ricardo 🔁
↦ P. Pennanen
43′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Franculino
↦ D. Castillo
J. Oksanen 🔁
↦ D. Arifi
46′
O. Ruoppi 🔁
↦ J. Voutilainen
46′
51′
⚽ Junior Brumado 0–1
54′
⚽ A. Simsir 0–2
E. Chilufya
65′
🔁 O. Diao
↦ M. Bech Sorensen
65′
🔁 A. Djabi
↦ A. Simsir
65′
🔁 F. Etim
↦ Junior Brumado
S. Seidu 🔁
↦ S. Pasanen
67′
73′
🔁 K. Mbabu
↦ A. Gabriel
S. Savolainen 🔁
↦ B. Armah
77′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

KuPS

4-4-2
1 J. Kreidl
24 B. Armah
23 A. Lotjonen
33 T. Hamalainen
22 P. Konate
7 J. Voutilainen
14 S. Pasanen
10 D. Arifi
8 P. Pennanen
21 J. Luyeye-Lutumba
11 A. Sadiku
Bench (9)
12 A. Hakala
4 P. Ricardo
6 S. Savolainen
9 P. Parzyszek
13 J. Oksanen
15 I. Cisse
20 M. Toure
28 S. Seidu
34 O. Ruoppi

Coach: Jarkko Juhani Wiss

Midtjylland

4-4-2
16 E. Olafsson
13 A. Gabriel
6 M. Erlic
22 M. Bech Sorensen
29 Paulinho
14 E. Chilufya
20 V. Byskov
80 Dani Silva
58 A. Simsir
74 Junior Brumado
21 D. Castillo
Bench (11)
1 J. Lossl
31 L. Selin
3 Lee Han-Beom
4 O. Diao
7 Franculino
11 D. Osorio
19 P. Bravo
33 A. Djabi
43 K. Mbabu
55 V. Bak
90 F. Etim

Coach: Mike Tullberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Simone Sozza · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.